Baie-Comeau Drakkar vs Chicoutimi Saguenéens: match prediction on 26 September 2026

Chicoutimi Saguenéens are projected to win 3–2 or 4–2. The visitors have outscored their opponents by six goals across their last five matches while the hosts have conceded 11 more than they have scored. The model projects 3.8 goals for Chicoutimi against 2.8 for Baie-Comeau, and the most probable scorelines all favour the away side.

Baie-Comeau Drakkar have lost four of their last five games. They dropped 2:5 and 2:4 to Rimouski Oceanic at home before falling 2:3 away, then suffered a 1:7 defeat against Chicoutimi on 6 September. Their only victory in that stretch came 4:3 at home against the same visitors two days earlier. The hosts have scored 11 goals and conceded 22 in those five matches.

Chicoutimi Saguenéens have won two and lost three in their last five outings. They were beaten 2:5 at home by Quebec Remparts and 2:5 at home by Shawinigan Cataractes, but responded with a 5:0 victory away at Shawinigan and a 7:1 win over Baie-Comeau at home. They have netted 19 goals and conceded 15 in that period.

The head-to-head record over recent years shows 44 meetings with Baie-Comeau winning 24 and Chicoutimi 20. The most recent encounter ended 7:1 to Chicoutimi on 6 September at their home rink. Before that, Baie-Comeau won 4:3 at home on 5 September. The pattern suggests matches tend to produce goals rather than tight defensive battles.

The model assigns a 15% probability to a draw and 92% to both teams scoring. Ninety-six percent of simulated versions produce three or more goals. The three most likely scorelines are 2:3, 2:4 and 3:3, each at 5%. This outcome stops holding if Chicoutimi fail to convert their attacking opportunities or if Baie-Comeau's defence tightens significantly.