Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Blainville-Boisbriand Armada vs Sherbrooke Phoenix: match prediction on 26 September 2026
Blainville-Boisbriand Armada
Sherbrooke Phoenix
Prediction for
Win: Blainville-Boisbriand Armada
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
15%
X
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 21:15- Бленвиль-Буасбриян Армада — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
- Шербрук Феникс — 1. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Бленвиль-Буасбриян Армада, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Шербрук Феникс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 32 games, Бленвиль-Буасбриян Армада — 10, Шербрук Феникс — 22
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Blainville-Boisbriand Armada
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Sherbrooke Phoenix
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 48
18Blainville-Boisbriand Armada
0Draw
30Sherbrooke Phoenix
- 28 AugBlainville-Boisbriand Armada — Sherbrooke Phoenix3:4
- 30 Dec 2025Sherbrooke Phoenix — Blainville-Boisbriand Armada5:4
- 7 Sep 2025Sherbrooke Phoenix — Blainville-Boisbriand Armada7:2
- 5 Apr 2025Blainville-Boisbriand Armada — Sherbrooke Phoenix1:2
- 3 Apr 2025Sherbrooke Phoenix — Blainville-Boisbriand Armada4:3
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 25 Sep, 21:15Match Overview
The QMJHL fixture between Blainville-Boisbriand Armada and Sherbrooke Phoenix concluded on 26 September 2026. Sherbrooke Phoenix are positioned first in the standings after three matches, having secured three wins, while Blainville-Boisbriand Armada sit fourth after three matches with one win and two losses.
Historical Context
The head-to-head record over the last few years favours the visitors. In thirty-two matches played between the two sides, Sherbrooke Phoenix have won twenty-two times, compared to ten victories for Blainville-Boisbriand Armada. Recent meetings include a 4-3 win for the Phoenix on 27 August 2026 at the hosts' venue, a 5-4 victory for Sherbrooke on 30 December 2025, and a 7-2 win for the visitors on 7 September 2025. The Phoenix also won two of the three meetings in April 2025.
Match Statistics and Models
Pre-match statistical models predicted a high-scoring affair. The model estimated that Blainville-Boisbriand Armada would score 3.9 goals and Sherbrooke Phoenix 3 goals. The probability of both teams scoring was 93 per cent, and the likelihood of three or more goals being scored was 97 per cent. The model fancied 3-2 and 3-3 equally at 5 per cent each.
Recent Form Indicators
Both teams arrived with identical records from their last five matches: three wins and two losses. Blainville-Boisbriand Armada’s last five games produced 20 goals scored and 18 conceded, while Sherbrooke Phoenix scored 18 goals and conceded 13 in the same period. The Phoenix had recently defeated Victoriaville Tigres 7-1 away on 25 September, while the Armada had beaten Gatineau Olympiques 3-2 away on the same date. The Phoenix were on a three-match winning streak leading into this fixture, whereas the Armada had suffered back-to-back defeats against Rouyn-Noranda and Val-d’Or.