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Ritten vs Gherdeina: match prediction on 8 October 2026
Ritten
Gherdeina
Prediction for
Win: Ritten
65%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
65%
1
13%
X
22%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Oct, 19:05- Риттен — 2. place, 0 points after 5 games (4 wins, 1 losses)
- Гердейна — 10. place, 0 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
- Риттен, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Гердейна, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Риттен — 11, Гердейна — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ritten
WWWWW
5 wins
Gherdeina
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 18
15Ritten
0Draw
3Gherdeina
- 26 FebGherdeina — Ritten1:3
- 7 FebRitten — Gherdeina2:3
- 4 Dec 2025Gherdeina — Ritten1:4
- 15 Nov 2025Ritten — Gherdeina5:2
- 14 Oct 2025Ritten — Gherdeina5:1
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Oct, 19:05Ritten win. The hosts have dominated this fixture for years and are in far better form, while the model expects them to score 3.8 goals to Gherdeina's 2.5.
Ritten are second in the Alps Hockey League after five matches, with four wins and one loss. Their recent record reads 5:1 against Salzburg 2, 5:2 away at Klagenfurt II, 4:5 away at Eisbären, 6:1 against Merano, and 5:2 away at Kitzbuhel. They have scored 25 goals and conceded 11, averaging more than five goals per game in their last three victories.
Gherdeina sit 10th after four matches, with one win and three defeats. Their last five results show a 4:6 home loss to Asiago, 4:3 at home against Kitzbuhel, 5:6 away at Vipiteno Broncos, 2:4 away at Merano, and 4:3 at home against Merano. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 22.
Ritten lead 5-1 in six meetings. The most recent encounter ended 3:1 to Ritten away at Gherdeina in February 2026. Before that, Gherdeina won 3:2 at home in February, but the other four matches all went to Ritten, including a 5:2 victory at home in November 2025.
A draw would require Gherdeina to protect a narrow lead and run the clock down, a scenario that could slip away from Ritten. That is the main risk.
Ritten are unbeaten in their last four matches, with only the away defeat at Eisbären breaking the run. Their attack has been prolific, scoring five or more goals in four of those five games. Gherdeina have lost three of their last four, including a heavy 4:6 home defeat to Asiago.
Ritten's dominance in the head-to-head and their current position in the table suggest they should win, but Gherdeina have scored in every match this season and are capable of finding the net.
Ritten should take the points. They have the form, the history, and the confidence. Gherdeina are struggling for consistency and have yet to string together two wins.
The conclusion stops holding if Gherdeina start strongly and Ritten fail to respond. A slow start from the hosts, combined with Gherdeina capitalising on any mistakes, could lead to an upset. That is the only scenario that changes the outcome.