Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Shawinigan Cataractes vs Victoriaville Tigres: match prediction on 4 September 2026
Shawinigan Cataractes
Victoriaville Tigres
Prediction for
Win: Shawinigan Cataractes
65%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
65%
1
13%
X
22%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 00:04- Шавиниган Катарактес, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Викториявиль Тигрес, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 41 games, Шавиниган Катарактес — 16, Викториявиль Тигрес — 25
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Shawinigan Cataractes
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Victoriaville Tigres
LLWLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 60
25Shawinigan Cataractes
0Draw
35Victoriaville Tigres
- 11 SepVictoriaville Tigres — Shawinigan Cataractes4:0
- 24 JanVictoriaville Tigres — Shawinigan Cataractes2:4
- 18 Dec 2025Victoriaville Tigres — Shawinigan Cataractes5:4
- 22 Nov 2025Victoriaville Tigres — Shawinigan Cataractes1:2
- 15 Nov 2025Shawinigan Cataractes — Victoriaville Tigres2:6
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 00:04Shawinigan Cataractes to win, with 65% confidence. The hosts have edged the recent meetings 3-3 in the last six encounters, but they carry momentum from a 4-2 victory in January and are facing a Victoriaville side that has lost four of its last five games. Shawinigan is expected to score 4.5 goals on average, which suggests a decisive home result.
Both sides have managed just one victory in their last five matches, but Shawinigan's results show more variety. They lost 1-2 away to Quebec Remparts and 2-4 to Sherbrooke Phoenix, then bounced back with a 3-2 home win before suffering heavy defeats against Drummondville. Victoriaville's pattern is flatter — a 3-1 win over Drummondville at home, followed by consecutive losses including a 4-7 away defeat. The hosts have scored 11 goals in that span while conceding 21, Victoriaville 10 and 20.
Over the past 41 games Victoriaville has won 25 and Shawinigan 16, yet the last six encounters tell a different story. Shawinigan has taken three wins, Victoriaville three. The most recent meeting on 24 January ended 4-2 to the visitors, but
A high-scoring affair is projected. Both teams to score is projected at 93%, and there is a 98% chance of three or more goals. The three most likely scorelines are 4-2, 4-3 and 5-2, each with a 4% probability. A draw sits at just 13%, which explains why a home victory is favoured despite Victoriaville's historical dominance in the head-to-head record.
Season context matters
This is the opening fixture of the new campaign. Both teams sit at 0 points after 0 matches in the current standings, though Shawinigan occupies 1st place and Victoriaville 2nd based on last season's final positions. The hosts finished 3rd with 3 wins and 3 losses across 6 games, while Victoriaville placed 8th with 1 win and 3 losses in 4 matches. The table positions reflect Shawinigan's stronger campaign last year, and they will be looking to carry that momentum into the new season opener at home.