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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild: match prediction on 9 October 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning
Minnesota Wild
Prediction for
Win: Tampa Bay Lightning
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
51%
1
16%
X
33%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 00:05- Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг — 6. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Миннесота Уайлд — 5. place, 0 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
- Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Миннесота Уайлд, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Тампа-Бэй Лайтнинг — 4, Миннесота Уайлд — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tampa Bay Lightning
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Minnesota Wild
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 10
5Tampa Bay Lightning
0Draw
5Minnesota Wild
- 24 MarTampa Bay Lightning — Minnesota Wild6:3
- 4 MarMinnesota Wild — Tampa Bay Lightning5:1
- 2 Nov 2024Minnesota Wild — Tampa Bay Lightning5:3
- 25 Oct 2024Tampa Bay Lightning — Minnesota Wild2:4
- 19 Jan 2024Tampa Bay Lightning — Minnesota Wild7:3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 00:05The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Minnesota Wild on October 8, 2026. The final score, goal scorers, and match statistics are not available.
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter the game sitting sixth in the standings after four matches, with two wins and two defeats. Their recent form shows three victories and two losses in their last five outings, including two consecutive home wins against the Philadelphia Flyers and Washington Capitals.
The Minnesota Wild, positioned fifth after four games, have recorded one victory and three defeats so far. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses. They arrive in Florida having lost their most recent game 2-3 away to the Buffalo Sabres, ending a brief run of two consecutive wins against Boston and Nashville.
The most recent encounter occurred on March 24, 2026, when Tampa Bay defeated Minnesota 6-3 at home. Minnesota previously won 5-1 at their own venue in March 2026.
Analysis for this fixture suggests a high-scoring game, with Tampa Bay projected to score 3.2 goals and Minnesota 2.8. The prediction model indicates a 94 per cent probability of three or more goals being scored, with a 90 per cent likelihood that both teams will find the net.
Minnesota Wild defenceman Brock Faber suffered a skull fracture in a pre-season game against Dallas on September 29, 2026. There is no confirmation of his recovery status or availability for this match. Regarding Tampa Bay, Nikita Kucherov has reportedly stated he wants to remain with the club despite his contract situation being a topic of discussion.