Leicester Tigers — Saracens: 38:40, Premiership Rugby

Saracens beat Leicester Tigers 40:38 in the Premiership on Saturday evening. The result leaves both sides at the foot of the table after a season that has barely begun.

And here's the thing about a game like that — it rarely breaks open until you're watching it unfold. Saracens edged ahead late on, Leicester refused to let it go, and the final whistle found the visitors with two points to spare.

Leicester had looked comfortable for stretches. They scored first and built a lead that should have been enough. To be fair, they had the momentum for long periods and stretched the home side's defence repeatedly.

Saracens responded differently. They picked up the pace when they needed to and found another gear in the closing stages. By then Leicester had nothing left in the tank and couldn't match the visitors' intensity.

We had given Leicester the edge at 66 per cent confidence. The prediction didn't hold. Saracens simply found something extra when it mattered most — a late surge that Leicester couldn't answer.

Both sides remain level on points in a table that says nothing yet. What matters is the pattern emerging: Saracens have shown they can close out tight games, while Leicester's defence continues to leak points at crucial moments.