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Olympique Marcquois vs Suresnes: match prediction on 28 August 2026

Nationale Stadium Lille Métropole Villeneuve-d'Ascq Miss Match page
Olympique Marcquois Suresnes

Prediction for

Win: Olympique Marcquois

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

57% 1
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08

Suresnes win. The visitors dominate the head-to-head record—three victories in four meetings—and carry momentum into this opener with three wins from five, while Olympique Marcquois have lost four of their last five matches and conceded 154 points.

Olympique Marcquois have only one victory in their last five matches, that 25:0 win away to Tarbes Pyrenees, and their other results show consistent problems. They lost 28:59 at Massy, 7:37 at home to Bourgoin-Jallieu, 20:25 away to Bourgoin-Jallieu again, and 7:33 at Perigourdin. The points differential—87 for, 154 against—suggests a side struggling to contain opponents and finish attacks consistently.

Suresnes have been far more effective. Three wins from five matches, including a 71:26 demolition of Bourgoin-Jallieu at home and a controlled 23:13 victory over Rouen Normandie. Their scoring rate of 164 points in five games averages 32.8 per match, compared to Olympique Marcquois' 17.4. Even their two defeats came against stronger opposition—Chambery and Massy—rather than teams they should be beating.

In four meetings, Suresnes have won three times: 29:12 away in January 2026, 12:8 at Olympique Marcquois in September 2025, and 35:24 at home in March 2025. Olympique Marcquois' only victory came in October 2024, 27:24 at home. Every recent encounter has seen Suresnes control the game, and the margins have been substantial in their favour.

They do not account for the seven-point loss Olympique Marcquois are riding, nor the attacking fluidity Suresnes have shown.

This prediction would not hold if Olympique Marcquois had secured a key attacking player unavailable in their recent matches, or if Suresnes were rotating heavily for a more important fixture. A home advantage could also narrow the gap, though the head-to-head record includes two matches at Olympique Marcquois' ground where they still lost both times to Suresnes in the last four meetings.

Suresnes have won more games, scored more points, and beaten Olympique Marcquois more convincingly in recent history. The visitors simply have the better side right now.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08
  • Олимпик Маркуа, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Сюрсн, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 4 games, Олимпик Маркуа — 1, Сюрсн — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Olympique Marcquois LLLLL 5 losses
Suresnes LWWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 4

1Olympique Marcquois 0Draw 3Suresnes
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+