Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Suresnes
Prediction for
Win: Olympique Marcquois
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 4
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:08Suresnes win. The visitors dominate the head-to-head record—three victories in four meetings—and carry momentum into this opener with three wins from five, while Olympique Marcquois have lost four of their last five matches and conceded 154 points.
Olympique Marcquois have only one victory in their last five matches, that 25:0 win away to Tarbes Pyrenees, and their other results show consistent problems. They lost 28:59 at Massy, 7:37 at home to Bourgoin-Jallieu, 20:25 away to Bourgoin-Jallieu again, and 7:33 at Perigourdin. The points differential—87 for, 154 against—suggests a side struggling to contain opponents and finish attacks consistently.
Suresnes have been far more effective. Three wins from five matches, including a 71:26 demolition of Bourgoin-Jallieu at home and a controlled 23:13 victory over Rouen Normandie. Their scoring rate of 164 points in five games averages 32.8 per match, compared to Olympique Marcquois' 17.4. Even their two defeats came against stronger opposition—Chambery and Massy—rather than teams they should be beating.
In four meetings, Suresnes have won three times: 29:12 away in January 2026, 12:8 at Olympique Marcquois in September 2025, and 35:24 at home in March 2025. Olympique Marcquois' only victory came in October 2024, 27:24 at home. Every recent encounter has seen Suresnes control the game, and the margins have been substantial in their favour.
They do not account for the seven-point loss Olympique Marcquois are riding, nor the attacking fluidity Suresnes have shown.
This prediction would not hold if Olympique Marcquois had secured a key attacking player unavailable in their recent matches, or if Suresnes were rotating heavily for a more important fixture. A home advantage could also narrow the gap, though the head-to-head record includes two matches at Olympique Marcquois' ground where they still lost both times to Suresnes in the last four meetings.
Suresnes have won more games, scored more points, and beaten Olympique Marcquois more convincingly in recent history. The visitors simply have the better side right now.