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Porto
ABC Braga
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CSKA Moscow vs Kama: match prediction on 10 September 2026
CSKA Moscow
Kama
Prediction for
Win: CSKA Moscow
77%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
77%
1
23%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 12:06- ЦСКА Москва — 1. place, 7 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- Кама — 2. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- ЦСКА Москва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Кама, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 15 games, ЦСКА Москва — 10, Кама — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CSKA Moscow
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Kama
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 19
12CSKA Moscow
0Draw
7Kama
- 1 MarKama — CSKA Moscow3:0
- 28 FebKama — CSKA Moscow0:3
- 9 Nov 2025CSKA Moscow — Kama2:3
- 8 Nov 2025CSKA Moscow — Kama3:0
- 19 Apr 2025Kama — CSKA Moscow1:3
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 12:06CSKA Moscow to win, 80% confidence. The model expects 2.7 goals for the hosts against 1.8 for Kama, and the draw probability sits at 0%. That figure carries weight when CSKA have won all three of their matches so far, collecting 7 points with no losses, while Kama trail by one point at 2nd place with 2 wins and 1 defeat.
CSKA's recent run shows two losses among five matches, but those came against Chelyabinsk on consecutive visits—both 2:3 reversals. Since then they have closed out two Russian Cup and league fixtures 3:0, first against Tekstilshchik on 10 May, then Energostroy Moscow on 9 September. Kama look steadier on paper: four wins and one loss across five games, with goals at 14:4. Their only defeat came away at Lokomotiv Izumrud on 18 April, a 2:3 result, before they won four straight—including a 3:1 Russian Cup victory over Nizhnevartovsk on 9 September.
The head-to-head record favours CSKA Moscow. Across 15 meetings they have won 10 times, Kama 5. The most recent clash ended 3:0 to Kama on 1 March at their own ground, but before that CSKA took a 3:0 win at home on 28 February. The pattern suggests CSKA dominate at home while Kama can strike away.
Kama’s 3:0 win on 1 March proves they can dismantle CSKA’s defence; repeat that here and the model’s 0% draw probability is misplaced.
The model's goal expectations—2.7 for CSKA, 1.8 for Kama—point toward a single-margin victory. The 0% draw probability and 0% both-teams-to-score figure are stark, but they reflect the model's calculation from goals scored and conceded, not an assessment of today's line-up. CSKA's 13 goals in five matches average 2.6 per game; Kama's 14 in five average 2.8. The model does not factor in injuries or suspensions—none are recorded in the gathered data—but it does weight the home advantage, which has served CSKA well in recent fixtures.