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Plzeň U20
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Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Estonia vs Netherlands: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Estonia
Netherlands
Prediction for
Win: Netherlands
78%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
22%
1
78%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13- Эстония — 6. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Нидерланды — 5. place, 1 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Эстония, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Нидерланды, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Estonia
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Netherlands
WLLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13Netherlands are the favourites to win because their expected goals (2.1) exceed Estonia's (1.4), and the model assigns zero probability to a draw. Estonia score first and park the bus, and the model breaks down.
Estonia sit 1st with 10 points from four matches, three wins and one loss. Netherlands are 5th with just 1 point from three matches, winless. Nine points separate them in the table after similar numbers of games.
Estonia have won two and lost three in their last five matches, including defeats to Belgium 1:3 and Denmark 0:3 at home. Netherlands have won three and lost two, beating Finland 3:2 and Denmark 3:0 but falling to Serbia 2:3 and Finland 1:3. Neither side has drawn in their last five games.
Head-to-head records are not available in the database for this fixture. No prior meetings exist between these sides. With no prior meetings, the model falls back on current form and xG projections.