I Liga
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Finland
Estonia
Prediction for
Win: Finland
86%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
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Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 18:13Finland win, 86% confidence.
Finland have not lost in the CEV European Championship: three matches, three victories, eight points. Estonia have lost all three of theirs and sit at the bottom of the table with none. The gap between them is not a matter of form over a longer run but of what has happened in this tournament.
Over the last five outings Finland have taken three wins and two losses, scoring 13 sets to 7 conceded. Their recent results show two defeats — 2:3 against the Netherlands and 2:3 against Belgium — but both came at home. The two wins against Denmark and Serbia were 3:0 shutouts, and the away victory against the Netherlands 3:1 suggests they can handle pressure outside their own hall.
Estonia's last five match record is two wins and three losses, 8 sets scored and 10 conceded. Three straight tournament defeats followed: 1:3 to the Netherlands, 1:3 to Belgium, 0:3 to Denmark. Those two earlier wins — 3:1 against Serbia and 3:0 against Montenegro — came before the championship group stage, and the opponents have been different since.
The model projects a 2.4–1.3 set ratio. Draw probability is 0%, over three sets 0%, both sides winning at least one set 0%. The numbers point to a one-sided encounter.