Manisa BB Women vs Besiktas Women: match prediction on 14 October 2026

Besiktas Women to win. The model projects 3.6 expected goals for the visitors against 0.8 for the hosts, and the draw probability sits at 0%. Not a suggestion. A calculation.

Manisa BB Women have played two league matches so far, taking three points from one win and one defeat. Their last five games show a different pattern: one victory, one draw, three losses, with seven goals scored and twelve conceded. The most recent result was a 3:1 home win over Kuzeyboru Gençlik Spor Women on 11 October. Before that came a 0:3 away defeat to Fenerbahce Women on 4 October. The run includes two cup losses — 2:3 away at Kuzeyboru and 0:3 at home to THY — plus a 2:2 friendly draw with Göztepe on 24 September.

Besiktas Women occupy 13th place with one point from two league matches, two losses. Their last five fixtures yield one win and four defeats, nine goals scored and thirteen conceded. They lost 2:3 at home to Fenerbahce Women on 11 October and 1:3 away to VakifBank Spor Kulübü on 3 October. The cup provided a 3:1 home win against Afyon Bld. Yuntas Women on 29 September, but that was followed by a 2:3 away loss to Nilüfer Belediyespor Women on 27 September. The friendly record shows a 1:3 defeat to Aras Kargo Women on 24 September.

Manisa BB Women sit ninth after two matches with three points, one win and one loss. Besiktas Women are thirteenth after two matches with one point, two losses. The gap between them is two places and two points, but the model does not read the table — it reads goal expectations.

The model's figures are clear: Manisa BB Women 0.8 expected goals, Besiktas Women 3.6. The draw probability is 0%, both teams to score is 0%, and three or more goals is 0%. The model breaks if Besiktas miss their chances, but the data does not account for that — it tracks what happens across thousands of simulations.