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Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Novyi Urengoy vs Ufa: match prediction on 23 September 2026
Novyi Urengoy
Ufa
Prediction for
Win: Novyi Urengoy
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
43%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 15:03- Новый Уренгой — 1. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Уфа — 2. place, 5 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Новый Уренгой, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Уфа, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 14 games, Новый Уренгой — 5, Уфа — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Novyi Urengoy
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Ufa
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 21
9Novyi Urengoy
0Draw
12Ufa
- 10 SepNovyi Urengoy — Ufa0:3
- 31 JanNovyi Urengoy — Ufa3:2
- 16 Nov 2025Ufa — Novyi Urengoy3:1
- 4 Apr 2025Ufa — Novyi Urengoy3:2
- 15 Mar 2025Ufa — Novyi Urengoy3:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 21 Sep, 15:03Novyi Urengoy to win. They lead the table on goal difference and have the home court, while the model projects them to edge Ufa on expected goals (1.3 to 1.2).
The hosts sit top of the Russian Cup standings with 6 points from 3 matches, one ahead of Ufa. Both sides have identical records of 2 wins and 1 loss, but Novyi Urengoy's position reflects their slightly superior goal tally.
Recent form favours the home side. Novyi Urengoy have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding 6. Their results include a 3:2 win over MGTU Moscow on 22 September and a 3:0 away victory against Orenburg. Ufa have taken 9 points from their last 5 games with 11 goals for and 9 against, but their last outing was a 3:1 home win against Orenburg on 22 September.
Across 14 meetings, Ufa have won 9 times while Novyi Urengoy have claimed 5. However, the most recent encounter on 10 September saw Ufa win 3:0 away at Novyi Urengoy in the Russian Cup. Before that, Novyi Urengoy had won 3:2 at home in January.
The model expects a low-scoring affair. Novyi Urengoy are projected to score 1.3 goals, Ufa 1.2. The model sees a stalemate as impossible, with BTTS and over 3.5 both priced out. The hosts' home record shows they have scored in every match this season except the 0:3 loss to Ufa.