Onikisubat vs Altekma: match prediction on 9 October 2026

Altekma to win at home. The model puts their goal expectation at 1.8 against Onikisubat's 1.7, and the draw probability sits at 0%. That outcome holds only if Altekma maintains the sharpness from their 3-0 Cup victory over Gaziantep Genclik on 8 October.

Altekma already has a match under their belt in the Turkish Cup. One win, no losses, 3 points, first place. Onikisubat have not played yet — zero matches, zero points, third in the table. The visitors are about to make their competitive debut while the hosts are already through.

Onikisubat have four wins and one defeat in their last five outings. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 6, earning 12 points. The results read 3-0 at home against Adanaspor, 3-1 away at Karapinar Anadolu, a 2-3 home loss to Siran Akademi, 3-2 away at Yucelen Anamur Spor, and 3-0 at home against Osmangazi. No draws in that run.

Altekma have three victories and two defeats from five matches. Ten goals scored, six conceded, nine points. Their most recent outing was the 3-0 Cup win over Gaziantep Genclik. Before that came losses to Ziraat Bankası Ankara 0-3 and Gebze 1-3, both at home in friendlies, alongside friendlies against Khilasedichi Baku and Bursa, both 3-0 wins. Again, no draws.

A draw suits Onikisubat — they have nothing to lose in their first match and could sit deep, absorb pressure, and look for a counter. If they do that and hold out, the conclusion stops holding.