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Surgut region vs Gorky N. Novgorod: match prediction on 26 September 2026

Russian Cup Premier-Arena Surgut Miss Match page
Surgut region Gorky N. Novgorod

Prediction for

Win: Surgut region

73%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

68% 1
32% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 15:01

The Match

They last met on 10 September 2026, when Gorky N. Novgorod won 3-2 away from home in the Russian Cup. Before that, they secured a 3-1 victory in a Superliga meeting on 14 March 2026, and a 3-2 win in another Superliga clash on 26 December 2025.

Recent Form

Both teams entered the match with mixed results in their previous five outings. Surgut had won two and lost three of their last five games, scoring 21 goals and conceding 23, including a 3-1 win against Yaroslavl on 25 September 2026. Gorky N. Novgorod had won three and lost two of their last five, with a goal difference of 9 for and 9 against, highlighted by a 3-1 victory over Kemerovo on 25 September 2026. Both sides have shown a tendency for wins and losses without any draws in their recent five-match samples.

Standings Impact

The result leaves Gorky N. Novgorod in second place with 8 points after 4 matches (3 wins, 1 loss), while Surgut sits in third place with 7 points (2 wins, 2 losses). The gap between the two teams remains tight.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 15:01
  • Сургутский район — 3. place, 4 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
  • Горький Нижний Новгород — 2. place, 5 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • Сургутский район, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Горький Нижний Новгород, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Сургутский район — 0, Горький Нижний Новгород — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Surgut region LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses
Gorky N. Novgorod WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 3

0Surgut region 0Draw 3Gorky N. Novgorod
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+