Cibona Zagreb vs Borac Čačak: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Borac Čačak to win. The visitors have dominated the head-to-head, winning four of six meetings and taking both matches this season. Cibona's home form has been mixed, with a loss to Slovan Bratislava on 12 October.

Cibona Zagreb have won three of their last five matches, including victories over Skrljevo, Samobor KK, and Galatasaray. They lost to Slovan Bratislava at home 82:90 and to Cedevita Olimpija away 76:89. The model expects Cibona to score 54.9 points, though their recent output has been considerably higher, averaging 84.6 points across those five games.

Borac Čačak have won two and lost three in their last five. Their most recent result was a 94:83 away victory over Igokea on 10 October. They also beat TFT Skopje 97:65 in May but lost at home to Siroki Brijeg and twice to Subotica in the Super League. The model projects 116.4 points for the visitors, a figure that sits well above their recent average of 81.2 points.

Borac Čačak have won four of six meetings, including 72:66 in April 2025, 89:62 in December 2024, and 101:97 in December 2023. Cibona's victories came 84:83 in February 2023 and 87:85 in October 2022. The visitors have won both matches this season and have not lost at Cibona's arena since February 2023.

The model assigns a 0% probability to a draw and 0% to both teams scoring, with 3 or more goals at 0%. The 61.5-point gap between the two projections is the largest single data point driving this prediction.

This conclusion changes if Cibona's home advantage proves decisive. They have won three of five recent home matches and their performance against Galatasaray and Samobor showed they can dominate in Zagreb. A strong start could shift momentum, and the model's expected points are lower than both teams' recent averages.