Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Espanol de Talca
CD Las Ánimas
Prediction for
Win: CD Las Ánimas
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 9
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 00:05CD Las Ánimas win — 80% confidence
Their most recent meeting ended 81:77 on 24 September, when CD Las Ánimas won at home. This time Espanol de Talca host, but the pattern has not changed.
Espanol de Talca sit seventh after 12 matches with one win and 11 defeats. Their last two home games have been victories — 85:82 against Naviera Ulloa and 80:74 over Universidad Catolica — CD Las Ánimas lie second with nine wins and three losses, a gap that reflects a season-long superiority.
CD Las Ánimas have lost their last two away fixtures, 86:109 to Colo Colo and 68:76 to Universidad Catolica. Espanol de Talca have won their last two home games. Momentum favours the hosts, but the head-to-head record and the table position tell a different story. Las Ánimas lost away, but they have beaten Espanol de Talca everywhere.
The model expects Espanol de Talca to score 78.3 points and CD Las Ánimas 86.5. Those figures are based on goals scored and conceded across the season. Espanol de Talca average 67.3 points per match; Las Ánimas 55. The model's projection for the visitors is higher than their average, which suggests it is accounting for Espanol de Talca's defensive record.
A draw suits the visitors — CD Las Ánimas would still finish above Espanol de Talca in the table, and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. If Espanol de Talca extend their home winning streak to three games and hold the visitors under 80 points, the conclusion stops holding.