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Grodno vs Gomel: match prediction on 3 October 2026

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Grodno Gomel

Prediction for

Win: Grodno

68%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

68% 1
32% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 11:10

Grodno extend dominant record against Gomel

Grodno confirmed their superiority over Gomel with a victory in the Premier League on Saturday. The hosts have won the last six consecutive meetings, the most recent ending in a 119-43 scoreline in April 2025.

Grodno arrived at the fixture in stronger form than their visitors. In their last five matches, the hosts recorded three wins and two defeats, including victories against Brest and Tsmoki-Minsk. Gomel, by comparison, managed only two wins from their last five outings, losing three games against Borisfen, Brest, and Grodno GrSU. The difference in recent form mirrored the historical record, where Grodno had won all six recorded meetings by significant margins.

Pre-match analysis models had predicted a lopsided outcome, estimating Grodno to score 88 points compared to Gomel’s projected 63.6. The prediction, based on a 68% confidence level, also backed a home win.

Grodno remain unbeaten in all meetings with Gomel, which spans from early 2024 to mid-2025. The win reinforces the positional hierarchy suggested by the head-to-head history. Gomel’s inability to secure a point against the hosts over six encounters highlights the consistency of Grodno’s dominance in this specific matchup.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 11:10
  • Гродно, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Гомель, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Гродно — 15, Гомель — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Grodno LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Gomel LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 19

19Grodno 0Draw 0Gomel
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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