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70%
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Olimpico vs Boca Juniors: match prediction on 13 October 2026
Olimpico
Boca Juniors
Prediction for
Win: Boca Juniors
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
57%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 02:05- Олимпико, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Бока Хуниорс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Олимпико — 4, Бока Хуниорс — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Olimpico
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Boca Juniors
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 12
5Olimpico
0Draw
7Boca Juniors
- 16 FebBoca Juniors — Olimpico81:77
- 20 Nov 2025Olimpico — Boca Juniors83:71
- 26 Apr 2025Boca Juniors — Olimpico84:76
- 18 Oct 2024Olimpico — Boca Juniors93:74
- 20 Mar 2024Olimpico — Boca Juniors75:77
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 02:05Boca Juniors win. Olimpo de Bahía Blanca have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 428 points while scoring only 390 in that span, and the model projects them to score 77.8 points against Boca's 82.2. The form gap is the decisive factor here.
Olimpo de Bahía Blanca's recent record offers little comfort. They beat La Union Formosa 87:78 on 6 April, then lost every subsequent game: 67:78 away to San Martin Corrientes, 75:99 away to Regatas, 74:82 at home to Platense, and 87:91 at home to Atenas on 8 October. That is one victory from five matches, earning just three points. The scoring average tells the same story — they have been outscored in four of those five games.
Boca Juniors sit ahead of that tally with six points from five games. They beat Obera TC 96:73 at home and defeated the RSSB Tigers 93:62 in the Intercontinental Cup, but lost to Quimsa 96:105 away, Rytas 70:77 away, and G League United 74:79 at home. Their point differential across the five matches is positive — 429 scored against 396 conceded — whereas Olimpo de Bahía Blanca's is negative.
Boca's most recent victory came on 8 October, when they beat Olimpo de Bahía Blanca 81:77 at home. That result suggests Boca can close out games against their opponents, but the current form differential makes a repeat more likely than not.
The model gives Boca a 57% probability of victory. A draw is projected at 0%, so the match is expected to produce a winner.
Pick: Boca Juniors win | Confidence: 57%