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Quezon City vs Abra Weavers: match prediction on 15 October 2026

MPBL Quezon Convention Center Lucena City Pending Match page
Quezon City Abra Weavers

Prediction for

Win: Abra Weavers

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

29% 1
71% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 10:05

Abra Weavers win by a comfortable margin on Thursday. The visitors have dominated this fixture completely, winning all three meetings this season, and their 106:54 victory just six days ago demonstrates the gulf in quality that exists between them. Quezon City sit 8th after 18 matches with a record of nine wins and nine losses, while Abra Weavers lead the table after 16 games with 15 victories and only one defeat.

Quezon City have shown flashes of competitiveness recently, taking three wins from their last five matches, but those victories came against mid-table opposition. Their 95:81 win over Pasig City and 76:71 victory against Valenzuela City Darkhorse both occurred away from home. They did manage an 89:88 win at home against Pasig, but their defeats to Batangas City 54:70 and the recent thrashing by Abra Weavers 54:106 reveal vulnerability when facing stronger opposition.

Abra Weavers have been far more consistent. Four wins from five matches, with only a 70:74 loss to Cebu Greats on 31 August breaking their run. Their victories have come against Eastern Long Lions 79:72, Batang Kankaloo 81:59, and Ilagan Isabela Cowboys 94:67. More importantly, they scored 430 points across those five games while conceding just 326, an average margin of 16.8 points per match.

The head-to-head record tells the clearest story. Three meetings this season, three wins for Abra Weavers.

The model expects Abra Weavers to score 91 points while Quezon City manage 69.4. The draw probability sits at 0%, and the model sees no scenario where both teams score equally. This conclusion stops holding if Quezon City can impose their physical style early and disrupt Abra Weavers' rhythm from the opening possessions.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 13 Oct, 10:05
  • Кесон-Сити — 8. place, 0 points after 18 games (9 wins, 9 losses)
  • Абра Уиверс — 1. place, 0 points after 16 games (15 wins, 1 losses)
  • Кесон-Сити, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Абра Уиверс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Кесон-Сити — 0, Абра Уиверс — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Quezon City WWWLL 3 wins · 2 losses
Abra Weavers WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 3

0Quezon City 0Draw 3Abra Weavers
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+