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Södertälje Kings vs BC Luleå: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Basketligan Täljehallen Södertälje Miss Match page
Södertälje Kings BC Luleå

Prediction for

Win: BC Luleå

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

48% 1
52% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05

The visitors have won 11 of 13 meetings between these sides and 4 of the last 6, a pattern that outweighs Södertälje's perfect run of five straight victories.

Södertälje Kings have not lost in five matches, scoring 445 points while conceding 377 across that span. Their last outing was a 93:85 win at home against Hogsbo Basket on 13 October, and they had previously beaten Norrkoping 94:85 away. The run includes three home victories and two on the road, with no draws registered at any stage.

BC Luleå carry four wins and one defeat from their last five games, averaging 98.8 points per match while allowing 83.8. Their sole loss came 87:96 away at Jämtland Basket on 29 September. They followed that with a 113:81 victory over Borås Basket away, then beat Sloga Uppsala 108:77 at home.

The head-to-head record tells the longer story. BC Luleå have won 11 of 13 meetings, including the most recent clash 72:67 on 6 February. In the last six encounters they hold a 4–2 advantage, with Södertälje's two wins coming in February and October of 2025.

The model projects 80.5 points for each side. The model gives neither side a draw.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05
  • Сёдертелье Кингс, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • БК Лулео, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 13 games, Сёдертелье Кингс — 2, БК Лулео — 11

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Södertälje Kings WWWWW 5 wins
BC Luleå LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 21

6Södertälje Kings 0Draw 15BC Luleå
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+