Bahia Women vs Palmeiras Women: match prediction on 1 September 2026

Palmeiras Women are set to win, carrying a seven-point advantage over Bahia Women in the standings and having gone five matches without defeat. The model expects Palmeiras to edge the expected goals tally 1.5 to 1.4, while odds from 29 bookmakers sit at 1.76 for an away victory.

Palmeiras Women sit third with 36 points after 17 matches, their record reading 10 wins, 6 draws and just 1 loss. Bahia Women occupy sixth place with 29 points from the same number of games, their record showing 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats. The gap between them has not closed since the season started and both sides have played an identical number of fixtures.

Palmeiras Women have gone five matches without defeat, collecting 9 points from 2 wins and 3 draws while conceding only 1 goal across that run. Bahia Women have gathered 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 5 in the same period. Palmeiras kept clean sheets in 3 of those 5 games, including a 3:0 victory at home against Juventude Women and a 0:0 stalemate away at Ferroviária Women.

The head-to-head record runs four matches. Palmeiras Women have won three and drawn one, with the most recent meeting on 2 May 2026 ending 0:0 in Salvador. The other three encounters all went to Palmeiras Women, including a 3:1 result at home in April 2025 and a 3:0 win in March 2023. Bahia Women have not secured a victory in any of these fixtures.

The model produces a 25% probability for a draw and 57% for both teams to score. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 0:1 at 9% and 1:2 at 9%. Palmeiras Women average 185.8 attacks per match compared to Bahia Women's 104.67, and they take 6 corners per game against 4.89 for the hosts. The odds have not shifted since opening on 31 August at 07:00, with Palmeiras Women's price holding steady at 1.76.

Bahia Women’s 3:0 away win against Atlético Mineiro Women from 8 August showed they can score freely when Palmeiras Women's defence is not at its sharpest, a scenario that would undermine the prediction. A draw would also undermine the away win prediction, given Palmeiras Women have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches and the model assigns 25% to that outcome.