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Deportes Limache vs Cobresal: match prediction on 8 September 2026

Primera División Estadio Municipal Lucio Farina Fernandez Quillota Hit Match page
Deportes Limache Cobresal

Prediction for

Win: Deportes Limache

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55% 1
23% X
22% 2

Average bookmaker line (47)

1.66 1
3.93 X
4.22 2

Odds range

1.61 — 1.72

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 6 Sep, 00:02

Deportes Limache to win at 1.66, based on the gap between seventh and fifteenth in the table and a 55% market share for the home side. The line has not moved since it opened on 06.09.2026, which suggests no fresh information has shifted opinion, but the bookmakers' confidence in the hosts remains steady.

Limache have taken nine points from their last five games — three wins and two losses — while Cobresal have gathered seven across the same span with two victories, one draw and two defeats. The hosts lost 0:3 at home to Everton de Vina on 29.08.2026 and 1:3 against Universidad de Chile on 15.08.2026, but they bounced back with 3:1 wins over Huachipato and O'Higgins on the road. Cobresal's results are less consistent: a 4:0 home victory against Union La Calera on 01.08.2026 followed by a 3:3 draw away at Deportes La Serena, then defeats to Concepción and Universidad Católica. Both sides have scored nine goals in their last five matches, but Limache's win ratio is higher.

The visitors have not won here in that span, and the recent 2:5 result shows how easily the home side can break them open.

The model expects Limache to score 1.9 goals and Cobresal 1.2, which points to a narrow home victory. The most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 10%, 2:1 at 10% and 1:0 at 9%. A draw carries a 22% probability and both teams scoring sits at 58%, but the model's expectation of nearly two goals for the hosts gives the edge to the home side. The line reflects this with 55% implied probability for a Limache win after removing the margin, compared with 22% for the visitors and 23% for a stalemate.

Limache concede 35% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while Cobresal score 32% of theirs in the same period. That late vulnerability could be decisive if the hosts hold a lead and the visitors push forward. Cobresal's Juan Eduardo Fuentes Jiménez has nine yellow cards and one red card this season and is one booking away from a suspension, which adds pressure to their midfield. If he picks up a caution, the visitors may need to adjust their approach, and that could work against them when the game opens up.

This conclusion stops holding if Cobresal find a way to control the early stages and score before Limache settle. The visitors have shown they can win away — their 3:1 victory at O'Higgins is proof of that — and if they take an early lead, the hosts may struggle to respond. A draw at 3.93 is the main alternative, and given the 22% model probability and the late goals trend on both sides, it is the most realistic threat to the home win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 6 Sep, 00:02
  • Депортес Лимахе — 7. place, 30 points after 21 games (9 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses)
  • Кобресаль — 15. place, 21 points after 21 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 12 losses)
  • Депортес Лимахе, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Кобресаль, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Депортес Лимахе — 2, Кобресаль — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Deportes Limache LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Cobresal LLDWL 1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Head to head 3

2Deportes Limache 0Draw 1Cobresal
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

47 bookmakers counted
1.66 Average bookmaker line
1.61 — 1.72 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+