Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Hayq vs Ararat II: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Hayq
Ararat II
Prediction for
Win: Hayq
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
56%
1
22%
X
22%
2
Average bookmaker line (2)
1.58
1
4.00
X
4.00
2
Odds range
1.58 — 1.58
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 13:07- Хайк — 13. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- Арарат II — 15. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Хайк, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- Арарат II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Хайк — 1, Арарат II — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Hayq
DWWWW
4 wins · 1 draw
Ararat II
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 2
1Hayq
0Draw
1Ararat II
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
2
bookmakers counted
1.58
Average bookmaker line
1.58 — 1.58
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 13:07Hayq arrive in better shape to face Ararat II, with the model assigning them a 68% confidence level for victory.
Ararat II have lost all three opening games in the First League, conceding 15 goals while finding the net just 7 times. Their recent run shows one victory and four defeats, with heavy losses against Andranik (1:6) and Syunik (0:4) highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Hayq sit one place above them at 13th, though both sides have minimal points after this early stage of the campaign.
Hayq's form has been sharper. They have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 5. Their sole defeat in that period came in the opening league game, but the overall trajectory suggests a side finding its rhythm.
The head-to-head record offers no clear pattern. Two meetings have produced one win apiece, with Hayq winning 4:1 away in May and Ararat II claiming a 1:0 home victory in October 2025.
The model expects Hayq to score 2.4 goals on average while Ararat II manage 0.9. The most probable outcomes are 2:0 (11%), 2:1 (10%) and 1:0 (9%). With a 17% draw probability, the balance tips toward a home victory. Both teams to score sits at 53%, and 63% expect three or more goals in total.
A low-scoring game where Ararat II defend deep and exploit any Hayq complacency would shift the momentum. The visitors have shown they can be competitive in this fixture when conditions suit them.
Hayq's cup match against Olympia Yerevan ended 0:0, which may have kept them fresh rather than drained their resources. Ararat II have not had that luxury, playing three league games without a single victory.
Hayq's attacking output—12 goals in five matches—contrasts sharply with Ararat II's 7 goals in the same period. The model's expectation of 2.4 goals for the hosts aligns with that pattern.
Ararat II's defensive record is the concern. Conceding 15 goals in three league games averages 5 per game, and their last five matches show four defeats with a combined goal difference of -8. Hayq have scored in every recent game, finding the net in all five of their last five matches.
If the visitors can organise defensively and take their chances, the outcome could shift. But the data points toward a home victory.