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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Aryan
55%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 10:38Aryan to win. Confidence 68%.
The gap between these sides is measured in points and results. Kalighat Club sit 23rd with 3 points after 10 matches — 0 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses. Aryan occupy 10th place with 16 points, built from 4 victories, 4 draws and just 2 defeats. The difference is 13 points from identical games played.
Kalighat's recent record offers no comfort. Over their last five matches they have failed to win once, collecting a single point from 15 available. They lost 1:2 at home to Mohammedan SC on 31 August, drew 1:1 with Measurers two days later, then suffered three consecutive away defeats — 0:3 against Calcutta Police, 1:3 at Rainbow, and 0:3 against NA Suruchi Sangha. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 12.
Aryan have done the opposite. Three wins and two draws from their last five fixtures, 11 points from a possible 15. They beat United 2:1 at home on 28 August, demolished Rainbow 5:0 on 24 August, and kept Measurers out with a 2:0 victory on 20 August. Away from home they drew 1:1 with Peerless and 0:0 against Wari. They have scored 10 goals and conceded just 2.
The timing of goals tells a story. Kalighat Club have scored 40% of their 5 goals within the opening 15 minutes, but 0% in the final 15. They have conceded 47% of their 15 goals between minutes 31 and 45, and 27% between 46 and 60. Aryan's pattern is different. They have not conceded a single goal in the first 75 minutes of any match — 100% of their 3 goals conceded came in the final quarter. Aryan hold their shape when it matters.
The model expects Kalighat Club to score 0.6 goals and Aryan 1.3. The draw probability sits at 28%, both teams to score at 33%, and three or more goals at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 19%, followed by 0:0 at 14% and 0:2 at 13%.
A win for Aryan stops holding if Kalighat Club score early and Aryan cannot close out the game. A goal before half-time would change the dynamic entirely, but two draws away suggest they can grind results without dominating.
Match: Kalighat Club vs Aryan
Competition: Calcutta Premier Division
Kick-off: 3 September 2026, 09:30 UTC
Venue: Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata