Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Leones De Rosario vs Atlético Atlas: match prediction on 31 August 2026
Leones De Rosario
Atlético Atlas
Prediction for
Win: Leones De Rosario
45%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
43%
1
32%
X
25%
2
Average bookmaker line (31)
2.08
1
2.79
X
3.56
2
Odds range
1.95 — 2.15
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 19:14- Леонес де Росарио идёт 3-м: 37 очков после 25 матчей (9 побед, 10 ничьих, 6 поражений)
- Атлетико Атлас идёт 7-м: 35 очков после 25 матчей (9 побед, 8 ничьих, 8 поражений)
- Последние 5 матчей Леонес де Росарио: 2 побед, 2 ничьих, 1 поражений
- Последние 5 матчей Атлетико Атлас: 3 побед, 1 ничьих, 1 поражений
- Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 1, побед Леонес де Росарио — 0, побед Атлетико Атлас — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Leones De Rosario
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Atlético Atlas
WWWLD
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 1
0Leones De Rosario
0Draw
1Atlético Atlas
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
31
bookmakers counted
2.08
Average bookmaker line
1.95 — 2.15
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 19:14I see Leones De Rosario to win at 2.08, with 45% confidence. The bookmakers have priced the home side as favourite across 25 firms, and the model puts their expected goals at 1.2 against 0.8 for the visitors. A narrow home victory is the most likely outcome.
Leones De Rosario sit third with 37 points from 25 matches, two ahead of Atlético Atlas on 35. The home side have won nine, drawn ten and lost six — a record that shows consistency rather than dominance. Their last five games brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, earning eight points from a possible fifteen. They beat Deportivo Muñiz 2:1 at home on 25 August, then lost 1:0 away at Canuelas. Before that came a 2:0 win over Defensores de Cambaceres, a 1:1 draw with Centro Español, and a goalless draw away at Deportivo Español.
Atlético Atlas are seventh after 25 matches and have won nine, drawn eight and lost eight. Their recent run looks sharper on paper: three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five games, yielding ten points. They bounced back from a 2:0 away loss to Sacachispas on 4 August with a 1:1 draw at Deportivo Muñiz, then won 2:0 away at Yupanqui, 1:0 at home against Argentino Rosario, and 2:0 at home versus Canuelas. The visitors have gone four matches without conceding more than one goal, but they also failed to score in one of those wins.
The only meeting in recent years ended 3:2 to Atlético Atlas on 3 May 2026 in Rosario. That result sits against the model, which expects Leones De Rosario to score more often. The most probable scoreline is 1:0 at 17%, followed by 0:0 at 14% and 1:1 at 13%. The draw probability stands at 31%, the same as the market after removing the margin. Both teams to score is priced at 37%, and three or more goals at 31%. Leones De Rosario have scored 28% of their 25 goals in the opening 15 minutes, while Atlético Atlas have not scored a single goal between the 46th and 60th minute across 22 attempts.
A draw suits Atlético Atlas — they have found it harder to win away from home and may be content to protect a point.