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Donbas Mariupol vs Spartak Kyiv: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Superleague Unknown Yaroslavl, Mariupol, Camaragibe Miss Match page
Donbas Mariupol Spartak Kyiv

Prediction for

Win: Donbas Mariupol

63%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

63% 1
37% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 10:52

Donbas Mariupol claim opening victory

Donbas Mariupol won their Superleague opener, sitting fourth with three points from one match. Spartak Kyiv remain fifth, having played one game and drawn, with zero points on the board. The home side secured the three points with a single victory, while the visitors failed to find a win in their opening fixture.

The result followed a period where Donbas Mariupol had won four of their last five games, scoring 178 goals and conceding 152. Spartak Kyiv arrived with a mixed record of three wins and two defeats in their previous five outings, with a goal difference of 136 for and 167 against. The visitors had suffered heavy defeats away to Motor Zaporozhye, losing 14–44 and 17–43 in May 2026.

Statistical models had predicted a home advantage, estimating 35 goals for Donbas Mariupol and 29.5 for Spartak Kyiv. The probability of a draw was recorded at zero per cent, while the likelihood of both teams scoring was also assessed at zero per cent.

Donbas Mariupol’s form over the last five matches included wins against Odesa and Khmelnitsky, alongside a victory at home against Avia Grade Constanta. Spartak Kyiv had secured points against Dinamo Poltava at home and Karpaty Uzhhorod Women away, but their recent away form had been poor.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 10:52
  • Донбасс Мариуполь — 4. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Спартак Киев — 5. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Донбасс Мариуполь, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Спартак Киев, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Donbas Mariupol WLWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Spartak Kyiv LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 1

1Donbas Mariupol 0Draw 0Spartak Kyiv
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+