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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Bedzin vs BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Bedzin
BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz
Prediction for
Win: Bedzin
91%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
91%
1
9%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 17:05- Бедзин, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- БКС Бостик Быдгощ, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Бедзин — 9, БКС Бостик Быдгощ — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Bedzin
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 14
11Bedzin
0Draw
3BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz
- 14 MarBedzin — BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz3:1
- 29 Nov 2025BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz — Bedzin0:3
- 6 Sep 2025BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz — Bedzin1:3
- 25 Apr 2024BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz — Bedzin0:3
- 20 Apr 2024Bedzin — BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz3:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 17:05Bedzin win at 91% confidence. The head-to-head record leaves little room for doubt: Bedzin have won five of the last six meetings, including a 3:1 victory on 14 March 2026. The model backs this with 2.6 expected goals for the hosts against 1.1 for the visitors, and the draw probability sits at 0%.
Bedzin have dominated this fixture for years. The pattern is clear: Bedzin score freely against BKS, and BKS struggle to find the net. The most recent meeting on 14 March 2026 ended 3:1 to Bedzin, and before that the visitors lost 0:3 at home on 29 November 2025. Even in a friendly on 6 September 2025, Bedzin won 3:1. Five of the six matches produced at least three goals, and Bedzin kept four clean sheets.
Both sides arrived with identical records: two wins and three defeats from their last five matches. Bedzin scored 9 goals and conceded 10, while BKS scored 9 and let in 12. Neither side managed a draw in that run. Bedzin's results included a 3:0 win over Astra Nowa Sol and a heavy 0:3 loss to Swidnik. BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz beat Siedlce 3:1 at home but lost 3:0 away to Jaworzno. The form is uneven on paper, but the head-to-head context matters more here. A team that consistently beats another does not suddenly lose its edge because of recent results.
The expected goals figures are decisive. Bedzin at 2.6 suggests they will most often score one or two goals, sometimes three. BKS at 1.1 means they typically score one, occasionally none. The model weights recent goals over historical fixtures. Still, the gap between 2.6 and 1.1 is wide enough to suggest a comfortable home victory.
BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz have not won here in seven years. If they sit deep and run the clock down, a point becomes possible. Bedzin have shown they can be vulnerable on the counter — their 0:3 loss to Swidnik and 1:3 defeat away to Kluczbork prove that. If BKS exploit that weakness and keep the score tight, the model's 0% draw probability could be wrong. A 1:1 or 0:0 result would overturn the conclusion.