Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Kama
Nizhnevartovsk
Prediction for
Win: Nizhnevartovsk
75%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 9
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:43The visitors arrive in poor form after four defeats in their last five matches, while the hosts have won three of their past five games. Kama’s recent 3:0 home victory over Chelyabinsk highlights a tactical mismatch that could define this fixture.
Kama sit second in the table with 6 points from three matches, having won twice and lost once. Their last five outings produced three victories and two defeats, with 11 goals scored and 6 conceded. Those clean sheets suggest defensive solidity, though they lost 0:3 at home to Akademiya Kazan and 2:3 away at Lokomotiv Izumrud earlier in the month.
Nizhnevartovsk also sit second with 6 points from three games, but their recent trajectory is worrying. One win and four defeats in their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 13. They lost 2:3 at home to MGTU Moscow on 20 May, then lost 3:2 away to MGTU Moscow on both 15 and 16 May. Their only victory in that span came 3:1 at home against Lokomotiv Izumrud on 9 May. The MGTU Moscow results alone account for three of their four defeats.
The head-to-head record shows Nizhnevartovsk ahead with 6 wins from 9 meetings compared to Kama's 3. Recent encounters favour Nizhnevartovsk, who have won several key fixtures, while Kama have struggled away from home.
The model projects Kama scoring 1.9 goals and Nizhnevartovsk 2.8, with a 0% probability of a draw, 0% for both teams to score, and 0% for 3 or more goals. A sudden improvement from the visitors or a Kama collapse would upend this assessment.
Outcome: Kama win
Confidence: 65%