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Latvia vs Turkey: match prediction on 16 September 2026

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Latvia Turkey

Prediction for

Win: Turkey

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

5% 1
95% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13

Turkey hold 8 points from 4 matches at second place, while Latvia carry 9 points but occupy fourth in the standings, xG: 5.2 to 0.6.

Recent form tells a different story. Latvia have won 2 of their last 5 matches, including a 3-0 home victory over Germany and a 3-1 away win against Romania. They have lost 3, including two 1-3 defeats at home to Switzerland and France. Turkey are in worse shape: 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5, with three consecutive 0-3 defeats before beating Germany 3-1 away.

The model calculates a 0% probability of a draw and 0% for both teams scoring. The most probable scoreline is a Turkey win, though the exact margin is not specified.

The match takes place on 16 September 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

Turkey must convert. Latvia's defense, despite conceding 10 in five, could still frustrate.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13
  • Латвия — 4. place, 3 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
  • Турция — 2. place, 8 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
  • Латвия, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Турция, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Latvia WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Turkey WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+