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Nizhnevartovsk vs CSKA Moscow: match prediction on 11 September 2026

Russian Cup Hall of International Meetings Nizhnevartovsk Hit Match page
Nizhnevartovsk CSKA Moscow

Prediction for

Win: Nizhnevartovsk

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

59% 1
41% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 14:40

CSKA Moscow to win

CSKA Moscow are favourites on league position and recent form, taking all three points from their opening Russian Cup match while Nizhnevartovsk lost theirs.

CSKA sit top of the Cup standings with 3 points from one match, a perfect record of one win and nothing else. Nizhnevartovsk occupy third place with zero points after a single defeat. The gap in league form is wider still: CSKA have collected 7 points from three games with three wins and no losses, while Nizhnevartovsk trail with 6 points from three matches, two victories and one setback.

The last five outings tell a sharper story. Nizhnevartovsk managed just one win in that run, losing four times and scoring 10 goals while conceding 13. CSKA's recent results include a 3-2 win over Kama, a 3-0 victory against Energostroy Moscow, and three straight wins in the Vysshaya Liga A before a 2-3 defeat to Tekstilshchik.

History between these sides is evenly balanced: ten meetings yield five wins apiece. The pattern shows both teams trading blows, yet CSKA's consistency in winning away fixtures gives them an edge here.

The model expects Nizhnevartovsk to score 2 goals and CSKA 1.7, though the draw probability sits at 0% and both teams to score is also 0%. This conclusion stops holding if Nizhnevartovsk's home advantage proves decisive or if CSKA rotate their squad heavily for upcoming league fixtures.

Transfer news around CSKA includes Ivan Oleynikov completing his move to the club, while comments from manager Nikitin praised character in a 3-0 win over Torpedo. No injury or suspension reports have emerged for either side, so both teams should field their strongest available players.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 14:40
  • Нижневартовск — 2. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • ЦСКА Москва — 1. place, 7 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Нижневартовск, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • ЦСКА Москва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Нижневартовск — 5, ЦСКА Москва — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nizhnevartovsk LLLWW 2 wins · 3 losses
CSKA Moscow LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 10

5Nizhnevartovsk 0Draw 5CSKA Moscow
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+