Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Novyi Urengoy
MGTU Moscow
Prediction for
Win: Novyi Urengoy
83%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 7
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 12:03Novyi Urengoy 2-1 (65%). The home side sits two points clear in the table and has won four of seven meetings between these clubs.
Novyi Urengoy sit second on 11 points; MGTU Moscow third on seven. The gap between them is four points, and the home side has already played the same number of fixtures. MGTU Moscow's away form in the last five matches is stronger: four wins and one loss, scoring 25 sets and conceding 23.
The visitors have looked sharper lately. Their last five matches produced four victories and a single defeat, with results including 3:2 wins over Nizhnevartovsk and a 3:2 victory against Novokuybyshevsk. Novyi Urengoy's recent run is more mixed—three wins and two losses in five games, with home matches against Belgorod producing a 3:1 win followed by a 1:3 defeat. The home side's set difference in those five matches is 11:10, while MGTU Moscow's is 25:23.
Head-to-head history favours the hosts. In seven meetings over the past year, Novyi Urengoy have won four and MGTU Moscow three. The most recent encounter on 12 March 2026 saw Novyi Urengoy take a 3:1 victory away from home. Prior to that, Novyi Urengoy won 3:1 at home in December 2025. MGTU Moscow claimed two of three Russian Cup matches between October 2025 and April 2025, but lost both Superliga meetings in the 2025-26 season.
The model backs Novyi Urengoy for a 2-1 win, ruling out a draw or four-setter.