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Novyi Urengoy vs MGTU Moscow: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Russian Cup Zvezdny Sports Palace Novy Urengoy Hit Match page
Novyi Urengoy MGTU Moscow

Prediction for

Win: Novyi Urengoy

83%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

83% 1
17% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 12:03

Novyi Urengoy 2-1 (65%). The home side sits two points clear in the table and has won four of seven meetings between these clubs.

Novyi Urengoy sit second on 11 points; MGTU Moscow third on seven. The gap between them is four points, and the home side has already played the same number of fixtures. MGTU Moscow's away form in the last five matches is stronger: four wins and one loss, scoring 25 sets and conceding 23.

The visitors have looked sharper lately. Their last five matches produced four victories and a single defeat, with results including 3:2 wins over Nizhnevartovsk and a 3:2 victory against Novokuybyshevsk. Novyi Urengoy's recent run is more mixed—three wins and two losses in five games, with home matches against Belgorod producing a 3:1 win followed by a 1:3 defeat. The home side's set difference in those five matches is 11:10, while MGTU Moscow's is 25:23.

Head-to-head history favours the hosts. In seven meetings over the past year, Novyi Urengoy have won four and MGTU Moscow three. The most recent encounter on 12 March 2026 saw Novyi Urengoy take a 3:1 victory away from home. Prior to that, Novyi Urengoy won 3:1 at home in December 2025. MGTU Moscow claimed two of three Russian Cup matches between October 2025 and April 2025, but lost both Superliga meetings in the 2025-26 season.

The model backs Novyi Urengoy for a 2-1 win, ruling out a draw or four-setter.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 12:03
  • Новый Уренгой — 2. place, 11 points after 6 games (4 wins, 2 losses)
  • МГТУ Москва — 3. place, 7 points after 6 games (2 wins, 4 losses)
  • Новый Уренгой, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • МГТУ Москва, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, Новый Уренгой — 4, МГТУ Москва — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Novyi Urengoy LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
MGTU Moscow WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 7

4Novyi Urengoy 0Draw 3MGTU Moscow
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+