Serbia vs Belgium: match prediction on 17 September 2026

Belgium vs Serbia, CEV European Championship, Group Stage.

Belgium sit top of the table with 12 points from four matches, unbeaten in the CEV European Championship so far. Serbia occupy fourth place with 5 points after three fixtures, one defeat already. The gap between them is seven points, and Belgium have played one more game. That extra match matters — it gives them a buffer Serbia cannot match without winning all remaining encounters.

Serbia's defeats were to Finland away (0:3) and Estonia away (1:3). Both sides have shown vulnerability on the road, though Belgium's home record includes a 3:1 victory over Denmark on 15 September.

Serbia have won two of the last three meetings. Before that, Serbia beat Belgium 3:1 at home in the 2023 CEV European Championship, and also won 3:1 in Belgium in September 2021. Belgium have yet to record a victory in this fixture since 2021. That pattern suggests Serbia know how to dismantle their opponents, even when playing away.

Belgium are priced at 1.69 to win, with a 59% implied probability. The draw probability sits at 0%, and the chance of the match going to five sets registers at 38%. The odds suggest a narrow win, though a five-set match remains likely. Belgium's attacking output of 13 goals across five matches averages 2.6 per game, while Serbia have scored 10 in five matches at 2.0 per game. Belgium have conceded 7 goals (1.4 per match), Serbia 12 (2.4 per match).

Serbia's ability to close out matches at home has been evident — victories over Denmark and Netherlands both came 3:2, suggesting they can grind out results even when not at their peak. If Serbia can replicate that pattern here, a Serbia win becomes likely.

Belgium need to maintain their position at the summit, while Serbia must find a way to climb into contention.

Belgium are the pick.