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Tyumen vs Makhachkala: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Russian Cup Akademiya Sporta Tyumen Hit Match page
Tyumen Makhachkala

Prediction for

Win: Tyumen

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

95% 1
5% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:43

Tyumen are heavy favourites to beat Makhachkala in the Russian Cup on 9 September, a conclusion drawn from their perfect three wins in the group stage compared to Makhachkala's three defeats and a head-to-head record of two straight 3-0 victories.

Form

Tyumen sit top of the table with nine points from three matches, having won all three and lost none. Their recent five games show four wins and one defeat, with 12 points scored and five conceded across that span. The loss came away to Tekstilshchik on 3 May, but the other four results were victories, including two 3-0 wins away and two wins at home against Chelyabinsk.

Makhachkala occupy fourth place with just one point from three matches, having lost all three. Their last five games produced one win and four defeats, scoring eight and conceding fourteen. The solitary victory came at home against Dinskaya-RCSP on 3 May by a 3-2 scoreline, but the other four results were losses, including two defeats to Tekstilshchik at home and a 2-3 away loss to Chelyabinsk.

The two sides have met twice this season, both matches played on 24 and 25 January 2026 in the Vysshaya Liga A. Makhachkala lost both encounters 0-3, with Tyumen winning every set. These results mirror the pattern seen in their recent form, where Tyumen have dominated while Makhachkala have struggled to find consistency.

Model prediction

The model expects Tyumen to win 3-0, consistent with the head-to-head record and current form.

The model’s edge evaporates if Makhachkala take the first set

This prediction stops holding if Makhachkala win the opening set. In volleyball, momentum shifts quickly, and a strong start could change the dynamic entirely. Makhachkala’s main threat lies in their serve-and-receive game, which could disrupt Tyumen’s attack early.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:43
  • Тюмень — 1. place, 9 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Махачкала — 4. place, 1 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
  • Тюмень, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Махачкала, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Тюмень — 2, Махачкала — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tyumen WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses
Makhachkala LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 2

2Tyumen 0Draw 0Makhachkala
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+