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Ferro Women vs Sesi Sao Paulo Women: match prediction on 2 October 2026

WBLA Women Microestadio Héctor Etchart Buenos Aires Miss Match page
Ferro Women Sesi Sao Paulo Women

Prediction for

Win: Ferro Women

68%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

68% 1
32% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 06:10

Ferro Women are expected to win against Sesi Sao Paulo Women. The model projects a 74.8-57.1 scoreline, and the draw probability stands at 0%. This conclusion depends on Ferro maintaining their recent scoring output; if they fall below 65 points, the margin narrows considerably.

Ferro have won three of their last five matches, collecting 9 points from 352:341 goals. Their most recent outing ended 59:75 away at Leones Quilpue Women, but before that they secured a 78:76 home victory over Defensor Women. The earlier results include a 71:46 win at home against Rocamora Women and a 64:60 away victory over Union Florida Women. The two defeats came at home, against El Talar Women 80:84 and the recent loss to Leones Quilpue.

Sesi Sao Paulo Women have managed just one win from five matches, gathering 3 points from 334:358 goals. Their last two games were defeats: 69:72 away at Bay Arena Phoenix Women and 44:66 at home against CD Sportiva Italiana Women. The solitary victory came 24 July, a 77:71 home win over Cerrado Women. The other two losses were away at Vera Cruz Women 67:70 and at home against the same side 77:79.

Head-to-head records are not available. Standings positions are not available. The model's expected goals figure for Ferro Women is 74.8, while Sesi Sao Paulo Women are projected at 57.1. The draw probability is listed at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and 3 or more goals at 0%. These figures suggest a one-sided contest rather than a tight affair.

A draw would be the main scenario that invalidates this prediction. Given Sesi Sao Paulo Women's recent form—four losses in five matches including two consecutive defeats in the WBLA—a result outside the expected range would require an unusual performance from the visitors. Ferro Women have shown they can score heavily, as evidenced by the 78-point output against Defensor Women, but they have also conceded 84 at home to El Talar. If Ferro's attack underperforms significantly, the margin shrinks.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 06:10
  • Ферро (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Сези Сау Паулу Женщины, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ferro Women LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses
Sesi Sao Paulo Women LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+