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Nassjo vs Uppsala: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Basketligan Sporthallen Nässjö Miss Match page
Nassjo Uppsala

Prediction for

Win: Nassjo

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

53% 1
47% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05

Nassjö to win. Confidence 53%.

Nassjö have won seven of the last twelve meetings between these sides, and home court matters in the Basketligan. Uppsala look sharper at the moment, but Nassjö's familiarity with this opponent and the support of their own arena gives them the edge in what should be a tight contest.

Nassjö have lost four of their last five games. They went down 74:91 at BC Luleå on 13 October and 81:85 at Hogsbo Basket two days before that. At home against Norrkoping they lost 79:89, and before that a heavy 82:113 defeat on 30 March. The only win in that run came 79:75 at Borås Basket on 25 September. They have scored 395 points and conceded 453 across those five matches, which is a negative differential of 58. But they have not lost at home to Uppsala recently: they beat them 94:90 on 14 October 2025 and 88:80 on 24 January 2025.

Uppsala are in better shape. Three wins and two defeats in their last five games. They beat Köping Stars 94:87 away on 13 October, Hogsbo Basket 92:88 at home on 2 October, and Sloga Uppsala 89:76 away on 27 September. Their defeats came at home to Jämtland Basket 72:78 and away to BC Luleå 65:85. They scored 412 points and conceded 414, essentially even.

The head-to-head record shows Nassjö leading 7:5 across twelve matches. The most recent encounter was on 13 February 2026, when Uppsala won 91:79 at their own arena. Before that, Nassjö won 85:80 at Uppsala on 5 December 2025. At Nassjö's venue, they beat Uppsala 94:90 on 14 October 2025 and 88:80 on 24 January 2025.

The model expects Nassjö to score 85.9 points and Uppsala 85.3. That is a virtual draw on paper, but Nassjö's home advantage shifts the balance. Nassjö are not in good form, and Uppsala have won three of their last five. If Nassjö start poorly or Uppsala find their rhythm early, the visitors could take control. A Nassjö loss would come from them failing to match Uppsala's shooting efficiency from the start. The head-to-head and venue suggest the home side has the edge.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05
  • Нассё, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Уппсала, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 12 games, Нассё — 7, Уппсала — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nassjo WLLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Uppsala LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 13

8Nassjo 0Draw 5Uppsala
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+