Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Nassjo
Uppsala
Prediction for
Win: Nassjo
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 13
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05Nassjö to win. Confidence 53%.
Nassjö have won seven of the last twelve meetings between these sides, and home court matters in the Basketligan. Uppsala look sharper at the moment, but Nassjö's familiarity with this opponent and the support of their own arena gives them the edge in what should be a tight contest.
Nassjö have lost four of their last five games. They went down 74:91 at BC Luleå on 13 October and 81:85 at Hogsbo Basket two days before that. At home against Norrkoping they lost 79:89, and before that a heavy 82:113 defeat on 30 March. The only win in that run came 79:75 at Borås Basket on 25 September. They have scored 395 points and conceded 453 across those five matches, which is a negative differential of 58. But they have not lost at home to Uppsala recently: they beat them 94:90 on 14 October 2025 and 88:80 on 24 January 2025.
Uppsala are in better shape. Three wins and two defeats in their last five games. They beat Köping Stars 94:87 away on 13 October, Hogsbo Basket 92:88 at home on 2 October, and Sloga Uppsala 89:76 away on 27 September. Their defeats came at home to Jämtland Basket 72:78 and away to BC Luleå 65:85. They scored 412 points and conceded 414, essentially even.
The head-to-head record shows Nassjö leading 7:5 across twelve matches. The most recent encounter was on 13 February 2026, when Uppsala won 91:79 at their own arena. Before that, Nassjö won 85:80 at Uppsala on 5 December 2025. At Nassjö's venue, they beat Uppsala 94:90 on 14 October 2025 and 88:80 on 24 January 2025.
The model expects Nassjö to score 85.9 points and Uppsala 85.3. That is a virtual draw on paper, but Nassjö's home advantage shifts the balance. Nassjö are not in good form, and Uppsala have won three of their last five. If Nassjö start poorly or Uppsala find their rhythm early, the visitors could take control. A Nassjö loss would come from them failing to match Uppsala's shooting efficiency from the start. The head-to-head and venue suggest the home side has the edge.