Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Pasay Voyagers
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 12:07The model projects 87.7 points for the Pasay Voyagers against 74 for Bulacan Kuyas, and the head-to-head record reinforces that gap: two meetings, both at this venue, both decided in Pasay's favour — 89:84 and 101:70. The margin in the second encounter was 31 points, based on the model's output and the historical pattern at this floor.
Pasay have mixed results of late but they are the more established side. After 20 matches they sit seventh with 11 wins and 9 losses. Their last five games brought three victories and two defeats, accumulating 9 points from 410 scored and 355 conceded. The loss to Quezon Huskers on 25 August (59:67) and the setback against Rizal Golden Coolers on 8 August (61:67) show they can stumble, but the wins over Marikina Verdiamonds (87:69) and Batangas City (85:67) demonstrate they can put up numbers at home.
Bulacan Kuyas are struggling. Four wins from 16 matches puts them twelfth, and their last five outings yielded only one victory. The 110:105 win against Pasig City on 6 August was their sole positive result in that window, and the rest were heavy defeats — 84:110 at home to Abra Weavers, 79:97 against Mindoro Tamaraws, and 82:87 to Valenzuela City Darkhorse. They have scored 435 points and conceded 490 across those five games, a net deficit of 55.
A draw is considered impossible by the model
The analysis assigns a 0% probability to a tie, noting that the expectation of both sides reaching at least three scoring events is also 0%. The model's point projection of 87.7 for Pasay versus 74 for Bulacan creates a gap of 13.7 points, which aligns with the 17-point and 31-point margins from the previous meetings.
A sudden surge from Bulacan — something they have not shown in four of their last five losses — would upset the prediction. So would a collapse from Pasay, as happened against Quezon Huskers where they managed only 59 points.