Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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North West
Dolphins
Prediction for
Win: North West
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 17:05North West to win. The home side has won two of three previous meetings between these teams, including a 272-138 victory in March, and the model's expected runs figure of 251.6 for North West versus 228.3 for Dolphins points to a home advantage. This changes if Dolphins can restrict North West to under 200 runs in their innings, which would flip the expected runs differential against the home side.
Dolphins sit top of the CSA T20 Challenge table with 15 points from four matches, three wins and one loss. North West occupy fifth place with 9 points from four matches, two wins and two losses. The six-point gap reflects Dolphins' consistency in this tournament format, though both sides have shown similar form in their last five matches across all competitions: three wins and two losses each.
The head-to-head record over the past year gives North West the edge. They won 272-138 in the Provincial One-Day Challenge on 14 March 2026, followed by a 335-274 victory in the 4-Day Series on 31 January 2026. Dolphins had the upper hand in their T20 Challenge meeting on 7 November 2025, winning 155-124. That single T20 result is the only one that matters for this fixture.
North West's recent results show vulnerability away from home. They lost 149-150 to South Western Districts on 10 October, beat Lions 207-205 on 2 October, lost 138-151 to Border on 28 September, and beat Warriors 131-128 on 25 September. Their only non-T20 result was a 642-596 victory over Boland in the 4-Day Series. Dolphins have beaten Border 129-128 on 9 October and Limpopo 95-91 on 4 October, before losing to Lions 194-202 on 27 September.
The model expects a decisive result with 0% probability of a draw and 0% for both teams to score. The expected runs figures suggest North West will outscore Dolphins by approximately 23 runs. This prediction requires Dolphins to bat second and face pressure in the final overs; if they set a target above 230 runs, North West's chase success rate drops significantly based on their recent away performances.