Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Ararat-Armenia II vs Bentonit Ijevan: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Ararat-Armenia II
Bentonit Ijevan
Prediction for
Win: Bentonit Ijevan
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
36%
1
23%
X
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 13:13- Арарат-Армения II — 13. place, 2 points after 5 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Бентонит Иджеван — 5. place, 8 points after 5 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
- Арарат-Армения II, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Бентонит Иджеван, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Арарат-Армения II — 2, Бентонит Иджеван — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ararat-Armenia II
LLLDD
2 draws · 3 losses
Bentonit Ijevan
WDDLW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Head to head 3
2Ararat-Armenia II
0Draw
1Bentonit Ijevan
- 13 MarBentonit Ijevan — Ararat-Armenia II0:2
- 28 Sep 2025Ararat-Armenia II — Bentonit Ijevan2:1
- 22 Nov 2024Ararat-Armenia II — Bentonit Ijevan1:2
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 13:13Bentonit Ijevan to win. The visitors carry eight points from five matches against Ararat-Armenia II's two, and their attacking output — 17 goals in that span — dwarfs the hosts' three. A draw suits neither side, but Bentonit Ijevan's capacity to finish games late makes a victory the most logical outcome.
The hosts have not won any of their last five matches. They drew 2:2 away at Banants II on 8 September and 1:1 at home against Mika on 1 September, then lost 0:1 at Lernayin Artsakh FC, 0:2 at home to BKMA II, and 0:1 away at Pyunik Yerevan II. They sit 13th in the table with two points, having failed to score in three of those five games.
Bentonit Ijevan sit 5th with eight points from the same number of fixtures. They beat Lernayin Artsakh FC 4:3 at home on 8 September, lost 0:2 away at BKMA II on 1 September, drew 3:3 away at Mika in a cup tie on 26 August, drew 3:3 at home against Pyunik Yerevan II on 19 August, and won 7:0 away at Noah II on 14 August. Their scoring pattern is unusual: 100% of their five goals have arrived in the 76–90 minute window, while 71% of the seven they have conceded also came in that same period.
Head-to-head records do not favour the visitors here. Bentonit Ijevan have won only one of three meetings — a 2:1 victory at Ararat-Armenia II on 22 November 2024 — while the hosts won 2:1 at home on 28 September 2025 and 2:0 away at Bentonit Ijevan on 13 March 2026. The model, however, expects Bentonit Ijevan to edge this one, projecting 1.8 expected goals against 1.7 for the hosts. It puts the draw at 23%, both teams to score at 67%, and three or more goals at 66%. The most likely scorelines are 1:1 (10%), 1:2 (8%), and 2:1 (8%).
The confidence in a Bentonit Ijevan victory sits at 41%. That figure stops holding if the hosts match the visitors' late-game intensity, or if Bentonit Ijevan's habit of conceding heavily in the final 15 minutes turns against them again. A draw would also invalidate the conclusion, particularly since the visitors tend to manage the clock once ahead — a trait that could keep the match level rather than let them pull away.