Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipú: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipú
Prediction for
Win: Colegiales
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
45%
1
31%
X
24%
2
Average bookmaker line (36)
2.03
1
2.92
X
3.78
2
Odds range
1.95 — 2.10
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59- Колехиалес — 12. place, 31 points after 25 games (8 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses)
- Депортиво Майпу — 6. place, 38 points after 26 games (11 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses)
- Колехиалес, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Депортиво Майпу, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Колехиалес — 1, Депортиво Майпу — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Colegiales
LDWWL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Deportivo Maipú
LWWLD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 3
1Colegiales
0Draw
2Deportivo Maipú
- 12 AprDeportivo Maipú — Colegiales3:1
- 28 Sep 2025Deportivo Maipú — Colegiales1:2
- 25 May 2025Colegiales — Deportivo Maipú0:1
Bookmaker market
36
bookmakers counted
2.03
Average bookmaker line
1.95 — 2.10
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59Maipú's away record tips the balance
Deportivo Maipú to edge Colegiales at home, though the model's expected goals suggest a tight affair. Maipú's 2:1 win at Godoy Cruz and 1:0 victory over Quilmes at home demonstrate they know how to manage games, while Colegiales' home form has been inconsistent — they drew 2:2 with Patronato and won 2:1 against Gimnasia Jujuy, but those results came against weaker opposition.
Colegiales' last five matches produced eight points from two wins, two draws and one loss. The 0:0 stalemate away to Almagro and the 2:2 draw at home against Patronato show they can grind out results, but the 0:2 defeat at San Miguel FC exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Maipú's nine points from three wins and two losses in their final five games indicates sharper finishing, particularly the 4:2 home victory over Atlanta which showed attacking intent.
Head-to-head history gives Colegiales a slight edge with one win from three meetings, but the most recent encounter ended 3:1 to Maipú in April. That result came at Maipú's ground, and the pattern suggests the visitors have found a way to contain Colegiales' attack while exploiting transitions. Colegiales' 1:2 win at Maipú in September 2025 was their only victory in this fixture, and since then Maipú have won both meetings.
The model expects Colegiales to score 1.1 goals and Maipú 0.9, with a 30% chance of a draw. Both teams to score sits at 39%, while three or more goals in the match is 33%. The most likely outcomes are 1:0 at 15%, followed by 0:0 and 1:1 at 13% each. Colegiales score 30% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while Maipú concede 28% of their goals between 46-60 minutes — a window Colegiales might target.
H. Gobetto carries seven yellow cards for Maipú, one booking away from suspension, which could limit his availability. Colegiales have no players near suspension, giving them a slight squad advantage. Maipú's expected goals of 0.9 reflect their away form and Colegiales' defensive record at home. This prediction stops working if Gobetto is suspended, which would remove Maipú's creative outlet, or if Colegiales find a way to exploit Maipú's vulnerability in the 46-60 minute period more consistently.