Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Capiatá: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Fernando de la Mora
Deportivo Capiatá
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Capiatá
40%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
37%
1
30%
X
33%
2
Average bookmaker line (43)
2.40
1
3.03
X
2.69
2
Odds range
2.45 — 3.02
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:03- Фернанду-ди-ла-Мора — 12. place, 25 points after 22 games (6 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses)
- Депортиво Капията — 10. place, 27 points after 22 games (6 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses)
- Фернанду-ди-ла-Мора, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Депортиво Капията, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Фернанду-ди-ла-Мора — 0, 1 draws, Депортиво Капията — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Fernando de la Mora
WLDDW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Deportivo Capiatá
LDLWL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 5
1Fernando de la Mora
1Draw
3Deportivo Capiatá
- 19 MayDeportivo Capiatá — Fernando de la Mora2:1
- 14 Sep 2025Deportivo Capiatá — Fernando de la Mora2:1
- 9 Jun 2025Fernando de la Mora — Deportivo Capiatá0:0
- 2 Oct 2021Deportivo Capiatá — Fernando de la Mora1:0
- 22 Jun 2021Fernando de la Mora — Deportivo Capiatá1:0
Bookmaker market
43
bookmakers counted
2.69
Average bookmaker line
2.45 — 3.02
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 14:03Deportivo Capiatá to avoid defeat, backed by their 4 wins from 5 meetings against Fernando de la Mora and the model's expectation of 1.3 goals for the visitors compared to 1.1 for the hosts.
Fernando de la Mora have gathered 8 points from their last 5 matches—2 victories, 2 draws, 1 defeat—but that record masks inconsistency at home. They beat Benjamín Aceval 2:1 and drew with Tacuary 1:1 in their two most recent home games, yet lost 1:2 away to Atlético Tembetary and drew 0:0 with Independiente F.b.c. on the road. The pattern shows they can score but struggle to keep clean sheets, having conceded 4 goals across those 5 fixtures.
They won 4:3 at home against 3 de Noviembre but lost 1:2 away to General Caballero, drew 0:0 with Guairena FC at home, then lost 0:1 away to Resistencia SC and 1:4 at home to Sol de América. That 4 points from 5 games—1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses—leaves them vulnerable, yet they've scored 6 goals in that span, suggesting attacking intent even when results don't follow.
Deportivo Capiatá won 2:1 at home on 19 May 2026 and again 2:1 on 14 September 2025, while Fernando de la Mora managed only a 0:0 draw at home in June 2025. Across all five meetings, Deportivo claimed 4 victories and Fernando won just 1. The visitors have not lost to Fernando de la Mora in four of those five encounters.
Draw probability sits at 28%, both teams to score at 48%, and three or more goals at 42%. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 13%, followed by 0:1 for Deportivo Capiatá at 12% and 1:0 for Fernando de la Mora at 10%. Fernando de la Mora score 16% of their goals in the first 15 minutes and 26% in the final 15, while Deportivo Capiatá put 36% of their goals in the last 15 minutes and 27% between 31 and 45 minutes.
This conclusion stops holding if Fernando de la Mora replicate their away performance against Deportivo Obrero, where they won 3:0 in Copa Paraguay. That result came on 19 August 2026, showing they can produce when it matters, though it was a cup match rather than league action. A draw would suit both sides given how close their points tally sits—27 versus 25 after 22 matches each.