Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Los Andes vs Acassuso: match prediction on 31 August 2026
Los Andes
Acassuso
Prediction for
Win: Los Andes
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
56%
1
28%
X
16%
2
Average bookmaker line (36)
1.63
1
3.27
X
5.70
2
Odds range
1.53 — 1.80
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 23:16- Лос Андес — 9. place, 33 points after 25 games (8 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses)
- Акассусо — 18. place, 22 points after 26 games (5 wins, 7 draws, 14 losses)
- Лос Андес, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- Акассусо, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Лос Андес — 1, Акассусо — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Los Andes
LLDDD
3 draws · 2 losses
Acassuso
DLLDL
2 draws · 3 losses
Head to head 1
1Los Andes
0Draw
0Acassuso
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
36
bookmakers counted
1.63
Average bookmaker line
1.53 — 1.80
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 23:16Los Andos are the bookmakers' clear favourite at 1.580, a price set across 36 firms that reflects their superior position and recent head-to-head dominance. The adjusted market estimate puts their chances at 58%, with a draw at 27% and Acassuso's victory at 15%. The model supports this reading: the hosts have won the only meeting this season and carry the statistical edge, even if both sides are struggling for wins.
A winless run for the hosts
Los Andes have failed to win in five consecutive matches, collecting just one point from a 1-1 draw with Deportivo Madryn while suffering four defeats. Their attacking output has collapsed to a single goal across that span, conceding seven in return. The pattern is consistent — they have lost away to Chaco For Ever and Temperley, lost at home to Ferro Carril Oeste, and lost away to Central Norte.
Acassuso's home struggles
Acassuso sit 18th with 22 points from 26 matches, a position that carries real pressure. Their last five outings have yielded two points and two draws, but those draws came against Midland and Colon Santa Fe — opponents they should have beaten. Three defeats followed, including a 1-2 home loss to San Telmo and a 0-1 defeat to Godoy Cruz. They have scored four goals in five games but conceded nine, with 32% of their goals against arriving in the final 15 minutes of matches.
The head-to-head and the table
The two sides met once this season on 12.04.2026, when Acassuso were beaten 0-1 at home. In the table, the gap between them is 11 points, with Los Andes in 10th place and Acassuso in 18th. The hosts have 25 matches played compared to Acassuso's 26, but the points difference is telling — Los Andes are mid-table with no immediate pressure, while Acassuso are in the relegation fight.
What the model expects
The statistical model projects 1.3 expected goals for Los Andes and 0.5 for Acassuso, outputting a 30% chance of a draw and a 27% probability that both teams score. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 22%, followed by 0-0 at 18% and 2-0 at 14%. Three or more goals in the match are expected in only 25% of simulations. These figures align with the recent defensive solidity of both sides, though Los Andes have been more vulnerable in the final quarter of matches, conceding 27% of their goals in that period.
When the prediction fails
The model does not account for the psychological weight of a relegation battle, and if Acassuso find extra motivation in that context, the 15% market estimate for their win becomes more plausible. A stalemate is possible if the hosts fail to break them down early and Acassuso control the tempo.