Shirak II vs Hayq: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Hayq to win

Hayq have won four of their last five matches, scoring twelve goals and conceding just five, while the hosts have managed only five points from five outings with a negative goal difference of four. The model puts Hayk's expected goals at 2.4 against Shirak II's 0.9, and the most likely scoreline is 0:2 at 10% probability.

Shirak II's recent record offers little comfort. They beat Ararat II 2:1 away on 19 August before drawing 1:1 at home with Araks Ararat, but those results are outweighed by a 4:0 defeat at Andranik and a 1:0 home loss to Sardarapat 2. Their only other result in that window was a 3:3 draw with BKMA II. They sit 11th after four league matches, collecting just four points from one win, one draw and two defeats.

Hayq's trajectory runs in the opposite direction. Their last competitive outing was a cup match against Olympia Yerevan, which ended 0:0, but before that they won four straight league games: 4:3 at Ararat-Armenia II, 2:1 against Mika at home, 2:0 over Araks Ararat at home and 4:1 at Ararat II. They have not lost in five matches and their attacking output has been consistent.

Hayq won both previous encounters, taking a 5:0 victory at home in September 2025 and a 1:0 win at Shirak II's ground in March 2026. The visitors have never lost to this side and have scored five goals in the most recent meeting. The model gives the draw a 17% probability and puts both-teams-to-score at 55%, while 65% of simulated matches produce three or more goals.

The three most likely scorelines—0:2, 1:2 and 0:1—all favour Hayq.