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Togliatti Women vs Izhevsk Women: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Togliatti Women
Izhevsk Women
Prediction for
Win: Togliatti Women
77%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
77%
1
23%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03- Тольятти (жен.), last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Ижевск (жен.), last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Тольятти (жен.) — 7, Ижевск (жен.) — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Togliatti Women
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Izhevsk Women
LDLLL
1 draw · 4 losses
Head to head 8
7Togliatti Women
0Draw
1Izhevsk Women
- 16 Nov 2025Togliatti Women — Izhevsk Women39:20
- 16 Dec 2024Izhevsk Women — Togliatti Women24:37
- 29 Sep 2024Togliatti Women — Izhevsk Women41:22
- 10 Jan 2024Togliatti Women — Izhevsk Women29:15
- 7 Sep 2023Izhevsk Women — Togliatti Women13:38
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03The visitors have lost their last four matches and remain winless in this fixture for six consecutive meetings, while the hosts hold a commanding 7-1 advantage in head-to-head history.
Form tells a familiar story
Togliatti Women have struggled to find consistency, securing just one victory in their last five outings. Their solitary win came against Astrahanochka Women 25:23 on 12 May, while defeats followed against CSKA Moskva Women and twice more against Astrahanochka Women. They have scored 117 goals and conceded 147 across those five games, resulting in a net goal difference of -30.
Izhevsk Women have fared even worse, failing to register a single win in their last five matches. Their only point came from a 26:26 draw with Alisa Ufa Women away from home on 29 April. The remaining four fixtures ended in defeat, including a heavy 15:38 loss to Luch Women at home on 7 May. They have scored 122 goals and conceded 156 in that span.
History weighs heavily
Togliatti Women have won seven of eight meetings, with Izhevsk Women claiming victory on just one occasion. The most recent encounter on 16 November 2025 saw Togliatti Women triumph 39:20 at home. Prior to that, they won 41:22 on 29 September 2024 and 29:15 on 10 January 2024.
The visitors have not won here since 16 November 2018.
Table positions reflect reality
Togliatti Women sit second in the Super League Women standings, while Izhevsk Women languish in ninth place. Both teams are listed with zero points after zero matches.
The model's view
The statistical model expects Togliatti Women to score 34.7 goals and Izhevsk Women 23.2. The probability of a draw stands at 0%, while both teams to score is also 0%.
Togliatti's 34.7 expected goals outweigh Izhevsk's 23.2, pointing to a home win.
Tactical adjustment
This conclusion would not hold if Izhevsk Women adopt a defensive approach and manage to secure a draw through tactical discipline. Given their recent inability to score consistently, such a scenario requires them to limit Togliatti Women's chances while capitalising on any set-piece opportunities. A draw suits the visitors given how they have run matches down in recent fixtures.