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Italy vs Denmark: match prediction on 20 September 2026

CEV European Championship PalaLottomatica Rome Hit Match page
Italy Denmark

Prediction for

Win: Italy

95%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

95% 1
5% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 05:04

Italy secure clean sheet victory

Italy defeated Denmark 3–0 in the CEV European Championship on 20 September 2026. The hosts moved to the top of the standings with 14 points from five matches, leaving Denmark in second place in the group with 10 points from four games. The result extended Italy’s unbeaten run to five matches, while Denmark’s record slipped to two wins and three defeats in their last five outings.

Italy’s dominance in the group

Denmark, who had previously shared the top spot with 10 points after four matches, remained on 10 points but now sat behind Italy on goal difference or matches played. Italy’s set tally stood at 15 won and four lost across those five matches. Denmark’s recent form showed two wins and three losses in their last five games, with a set difference of nine for and nine against.

Denmark’s away struggles continue

Denmark’s away record this season contributed to their second-place finish, with losses to Serbia and Belgium preceding the defeat by Italy. Their last five matches included victories over Estonia and the Netherlands, but the three defeats undermined their campaign. Italy’s home record remained strong, with five consecutive wins at their venue.

Model expectations confirmed

A pre-match prediction model estimated Italy would score 3.6 goals and Denmark 1.0, with a 0% probability of a draw or both teams scoring. The final score of 3–0 aligned with these projections, as Italy’s attack proved decisive and Denmark failed to register a goal.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 19 Sep, 05:04
  • Италия — 1. place, 12 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
  • Дания — 1. place, 10 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
  • Италия, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Дания, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Italy WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Denmark WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Bookmaker market

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