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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Volzhanin Kostroma
91%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 10
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 14:46Volzhanin Kostroma to win. The visitors have beaten Makhachkala in five of the last six meetings and carry a six-point cushion in the Cup standings. The model puts the draw at 0% and expects Volzhanin Kostroma to score 2.7 goals to Makhachkala's 1.2.
Makhachkala sit fourth with one point from three matches. They have lost all three Cup fixtures so far. Their last five games show one win and four defeats, with six goals scored and fourteen conceded. The most recent outing was a 0:3 loss away to Tyumen in the Russian Cup on 9 September. Before that they beat Dinskaya-RCSP 3:2 at home on 3 May, but had already lost to the same side 0:3 two days earlier.
Volzhanin Kostroma occupy second place with six points. They have won two and lost one in the Cup. Over five matches they have claimed three victories and suffered two defeats, scoring eleven and conceding nine. Their latest result was a 3:0 away win against Tekstilshchik on 9 September. They beat Lokomotiv Izumrud 3:1 away on 3 May, lost 0:3 to the same side two days prior, then dropped points 2:3 at home to Akademiya Kazan on 26 April before winning 3:2 there on 25 April.
The head-to-head record runs heavily in Volzhanin Kostroma's favour. In the last six meetings the visitors have won five times. Makhachkala's solitary victory came on 22 December 2024 when they beat Volzhanin Kostroma 3:1 at home.
The conclusion stops holding if Makhachkala score early and Volzhanin Kostroma spend the remainder chasing the game. A first-half goal for the hosts would change the dynamic entirely, especially given Volzhanin Kostroma's tendency to control matches rather than chase them.
Confidence: 70%.