Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Siedlce
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Prediction for
Win: Siedlce
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 13
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 17:05Siedlce to win. The hosts have won five of the six recorded meetings, including a 3:0 victory on 07.03.2026, and the model expects them to edge Lechia 2 to 1.8 in expected sets. This conclusion holds while Siedlce's historical dominance at home remains relevant and neither side has announced major squad changes.
Siedlce arrive with a fifth consecutive defeat. They lost 0:3 to Czarni Radom in a friendly on 03.09.2026, then fell to GKS Katowice twice — 1:3 at home on 11.04.2026 and 0:3 away on 06.04.2026 — before losing 2:3 to Swidnik on 01.04.2026 and 1:3 away to BKS Bostik Bydgoszcz on 27.03.2026. They have scored 4 sets and conceded 15 across those five matches, accumulating zero points.
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki have fared only marginally better. Their last five results include one victory — 3:0 against Jaworzno at home on 14.03.2026 — and four defeats: 0:3 away to Bielsko-Biala on 02.04.2026, 1:3 away to Sparta Grodzisk M. on 26.03.2026, 1:3 away to Czarni Radom on 19.03.2026, and 0:3 away to Siedlce on 07.03.2026. They have netted 5 sets and let in 12, earning 3 points.
The head-to-head record favours Siedlce decisively. In six documented encounters, Siedlce have won five times and Lechia once. The most recent meeting on 07.03.2026 ended 3:0 to the hosts. Earlier results include a 2:3 away win for Siedlce on 20.11.2025, a 1:3 home loss on 14.02.2025, and three further victories for Siedlce across 2024 and early 2024.
The model projects Siedlce 2 expected sets to Lechia 1.8, with a 0% probability of a draw, 0% for both teams to score, and 0% for three or more total sets. These figures suggest a narrow margin but no tie.
The prediction breaks if Lechia secure an early advantage and manage the tempo effectively, or if Siedlce suffer an unexpected setback in the opening sets that shifts momentum away from their historical pattern.