Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Batangas City vs Quezon City: match prediction on 11 September 2026
Batangas City
Quezon City
Prediction for
Win: Batangas City
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
58%
1
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 10:18- Батангас Сити — 1. place, 0 points after 17 games (15 wins, 2 losses)
- Кесон Сити — 8. place, 0 points after 18 games (9 wins, 9 losses)
- Батангас Сити, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Кесон Сити, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Батангас Сити — 1, Кесон Сити — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Batangas City
WLLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Quezon City
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 1
1Batangas City
0Draw
0Quezon City
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 10:18# Batangas City to beat Quezon City — 58%
Batangas City are the clear favourites here despite a shaky run at home. They sit top of the MPBL table with a 15-2 record after 17 matches, and Batangas City hold the edge over an eighth-placed side that has won and lost in equal measure this season. The confidence sits at 58%.
The home side's recent form raises a question mark. In their last five matches Batangas City have claimed two victories and suffered three defeats, scoring 368 points while conceding 411. The most telling result came on 3 September when they lost 74-126 to Rizal Golden Coolers at home — a margin that suggests they switched off at the back on occasion. Since then they have lost to Bataan Risers 63-65 and San Juan Knights 71-78, both at home.
Quezon City have looked sharper in the same period. Three wins and two losses in their last five games, with 406 points scored against 417 conceded. They beat Mindoro Tamaraws 65-61 away on 9 September and Sarangani Marlins 107-95 at home on 7 September. The visitors have not been consistent — losses to Abra Weavers 51-79 and GenSan Warriors 72-88 — but their recent trajectory points upward.
The table position outweighs the recent run. Batangas City lead the competition with an 88% win rate, while Quezon City sit in the middle with a .500 record. The six-position gap between them is not trivial. In the only recorded meeting between these sides on 1 July 2025, Batangas City won 73-66 at home — a result that got over the line by just seven points.
The model expects Batangas City to score 83.2 points and Quezon City 74.5. Those figures suggest a home victory, though the margin would likely be narrow. Recent defensive lapses at home temper the model's projection.
A draw would suit the visitors, and given how they run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat to this prediction. If Batangas City cannot match their earlier-season intensity, the model's edge evaporates. The 58% confidence reflects the narrow margin.