Norrkoping vs Köping Stars: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Norrkoping to win. The model puts Norrköping's score at 99 to Köping Stars' 83.8, and the gap holds up against what both sides have shown recently. Confidence 87%.

Norrkoping have won three of their last five, losing two, and the losses came at home against Södertälje Kings and away at Borås Basket. They won 97-90 on the road against Sloga Uppsala on 13 October and 89-79 away at Nassjö on 29 September. Their home win over Umea was the most one-sided, 108-75. They have scored 457 points and conceded 425 across those five games, averaging 91.4 points scored and 85 conceded.

Köping Stars have managed just one victory in five matches. The win came 94-81 away at Sloga Uppsala on 9 October. They lost at home to Uppsala 87-94 on 13 October, to Borås Basket 80-89 on 2 October, away at BC Luleå 91-95 on 25 September, and at home to Jämtland Basket 92-114 on 28 March. They have scored 444 points and conceded 473, averaging 88.8 scored and 94.6 conceded.

The head-to-head record is heavily weighted. Köping Stars have won two of twenty meetings in recent years, Norrkoping eighteen. The last six fixtures all went to Norrköping: 108-83 and 92-81 at home, 107-89, 90-52, 97-88 away, and 83-68 at home.

The model's expected scores align with the statistical profiles. Norrkoping average 67.29 field goals at 31.75 per cent accuracy, take 11.75 three-pointers, and grab 33.86 rebounds. Köping Stars average 61.14 field goals at 28.5 per cent accuracy, take 6.25 three-pointers, and grab 29.86 rebounds. Norrköping also average more assists (18.43 to 17.14) and fewer turnovers (12.57 to 14.29). The model's 0% draw probability reflects the one-sided nature of these matchups.

This prediction changes if Köping Stars' shooting percentage rises significantly above their 28.5 average and Norrkoping's field goal percentage drops below 31.75. A scenario where Köping Stars win the rebounding battle and force more turnovers than their 14.29 average would shift the balance.