Quezon City vs Sarangani Marlins: match prediction on 7 September 2026

Quezon City to win. The model puts them at 90 to 81.4, which translates to a 52.5% probability for the home side.

Quezon City have won nine of eighteen matches, sitting level on points with their losses. Sarangani Marlins have managed only three victories from nineteen games, with sixteen defeats stacking up against them. The table does not lie about where each team stands in the pecking order.

The visitors have conceded more points than they have scored across their last five outings. Their tally of 420 to 481 shows a side that struggles to contain opponents. Quezon City's numbers look marginally better at 438 to 433, though both sides have been involved in high-scoring affairs.

Quezon City's last five games produced two wins and three losses. They beat Imus Braderhood 111 to 94 at home and Negros Hacienderos 120 to 87 away. Their defeats came against Abra Weavers, GenSan Warriors and Zamboanga Sikat.

Sarangani Marlins have won just one of their last five matches. That victory came against Manila Batang Quiapo at home, 113 to 92. Their other four games ended in defeat, including heavy losses to Batang Kankaloo and Rizal Golden Coolers.

The two sides met once in the last year, on 21 March 2025. Sarangani Marlins hosted the encounter and lost 76 to 84.

Expected points put Quezon City at 90 and Sarangani Marlins at 81.4. The draw probability sits at zero percent.

I am backing Quezon City to win if Sarangani Marlins do not find a way to control the tempo. A draw would suit the visitors, and given how they tend to run the clock down in tight games, that remains the main threat to this prediction.