Seoul Thunders vs Anyang Jung Kwan Jang Red Boosters: match prediction on 9 October 2026

Anyang Jung Kwan Jang Red Boosters win at 57% confidence. The visitors come off four victories in their last five matches while the hosts have managed only two wins in the same period. Anyang's recent run includes wins against KoGas Seoul Thunder 86:80 away, Mobis Phoebus 88:85 at home, and Seoul Thunders themselves 78:70 in the KBL Cup. Seoul's form has been inconsistent — a win over Suwon KT Sonicboom 81:76 away does not erase a heavy 83:101 defeat to Wonju DB.

Recent momentum

Anyang have kept their side in contention across multiple competitions. Their last loss came on 30 April against KCC Egis 67:84 away, and since then they have won four consecutive games. Seoul Thunders have won 400 points and conceded 410 across five matches — a negative differential. Their only two victories came against Suwon KT Sonicboom and Seoul Knights, both away from home.

Head-to-head pattern

The record shows 13 meetings in total, with Seoul claiming six victories and Anyang seven. In the last six encounters, Anyang have won three and Seoul three — a perfectly balanced tally. However, the most recent meeting went to Anyang 78:70, and before that Seoul won 71:62. What matters more is that Anyang are playing with greater confidence — four wins from five compared to Seoul's two victories from five.

Model expectations

Anyang are expected to score 78.8 points against Seoul's 74.4. That 4.4-point margin aligns with the visitors' recent form and Seoul's defensive struggles. Injuries or suspensions are not accounted for, but the statistical trend points toward Anyang covering the spread. Both teams have shown they can score freely, but Seoul's defensive numbers are concerning.

When the prediction fails

The model gives the draw probability at 0%. The prediction breaks down if Seoul's shooting improves dramatically from their recent average, or if Anyang suffer an unexpected drop in intensity. Seoul have beaten Anyang 89:75 at home in November 2025, showing they can win this fixture. If the hosts replicate that level of performance and Anyang fail to maintain their recent scoring rate of 78.8 points, the visitors' advantage evaporates.